Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Lancers              Coach  =   Jackie Sowers         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   71.2659073    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A South Carroll          MD    2A-1A   (10- 7, 80.7)     5-18   
 323 H Walkersville           MD    2A-1A   ( 9- 6, 76.1)     2-12   
 328 H Frederick              MD    3A-2A   ( 6- 6, 73.1)    11-12   
 330 A Middletown, MD         MD    3A-2A   (10- 6, 80.5)     6-25   
 404 A Catoctin               MD    2A-1A   ( 0-10, 53.9)    22- 6   
 406 H Gov. Thomas Johnson    MD    3A-2A   ( 3-10, 58.5)    16- 4   
 411 H Tuscarora, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 7- 7, 73.1)     7-13   
 413 A North Hagerstown       MD    3A-2A   ( 4- 9, 64.9)     8-16   
 425 A Brunswick, MD          MD    2A-1A   ( 2-10, 62.0)    11-15   
 426 H Oakdale                MD    3A-2A   (15- 3, 87.3)     5-23   
 502 H Manchester Valley      MD    3A-2A   (13- 3, 94.2)     2-25   
 503 A Urbana                 MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 4, 75.0)    11-12   
 510 A Middletown, MD         MD    3A-2A   (10- 6, 80.5)     2-29   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A South Carroll           5-18     -13   -19           0.00
   323 H Walkersville            2-12     -10   -12           0.00
   328 H Frederick              11-12      -1    -9    +++    8.53
   330 A Middletown, MD          6-25     -19   -19           0.00
   404 A Catoctin               22- 6      16     7    +      2.56
   406 H Gov. Thomas Johnson    16- 4      12     5    ++     4.85
   411 H Tuscarora, MD           7-13      -6    -9    +      3.49
   413 A North Hagerstown        8-16      -8    -3    --    -4.41
   425 A Brunswick, MD          11-15      -4     0    -     -3.30
   426 H Oakdale                 5-23     -18   -23           0.00
   502 H Manchester Valley       2-25     -23   -30           0.00
   503 A Urbana                 11-12      -1   -13    +++    9.00
   510 A Middletown, MD          2-29     -27   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A North Hagerstown        8-16      -8    -3    --    -4.41
   425 A Brunswick, MD          11-15      -4     0    -     -3.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Frederick              11-12      -1    -9    +++    8.53
   503 A Urbana                 11-12      -1   -13    +++    9.00
   406 H Gov. Thomas Johnson    16- 4      12     5    ++     4.85
   404 A Catoctin               22- 6      16     7    +      2.56
   411 H Tuscarora, MD           7-13      -6    -9    +      3.49
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 62.48 Local Power Rank...........    95
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.80 Local SOS Rank.............    55
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............   107
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    72
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   142
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   16.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -23.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -23.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -20.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -17.0
/