Region = NY D  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Rick Storrier         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.9390564    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A General Brown          NY D  Sec 3   ( 7- 8, 77.5)    11- 6   
 404 A Westhill, NY           NY D  Sec 3   (10- 6, 90.7)    10-19   
 410 A Tully                  NY D  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 82.5)    18-13   
 413 A Chittenango            NY D  Sec 3   ( 3-12, 67.5)    19- 3   
 413 A Fulton                 NY B  Sec 3   (13- 5, 89.8)    14-26   
 420 H Cortland               NY C  Sec 3   (10- 7, 79.4)    16- 8   
 422 A Auburn, NY             NY B  Sec 3   (11- 7, 82.2)    16-11   
 424 A Homer                  NY C  Sec 3   ( 3-13, 71.1)    13- 8   
 426 H Marcellus              NY D  Sec 3   (14- 4, 97.6)     5-19   
 428 H Cazenovia              NY D  Sec 3   ( 8-10, 82.9)    19-13   
 508 H Bishop Ludden-Grimes   NY D  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 74.7)    18- 8   
 509 A Skaneateles            NY D  Sec 3   (18- 4, 97.7)     6-19   
 510 A Onondaga               NY D  Sec 3   ( 4-12, 69.6)    16- 9   
 512 H Jordan-Elbridge        NY D  Sec 3   (10- 7, 85.7)    15-17   
 515 H Tully                  NY D  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 82.5)    16-12   
 517 A Oswego                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 7-10, 72.8)    23-11   
 523 A Westhill, NY           NY D  Sec 3   (10- 6, 90.7)    12-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A General Brown          11- 6       5     7    -     -2.01
   404 A Westhill, NY           10-19      -9    -6    -     -2.80
   410 A Tully                  18-13       5     1    +      3.00
   413 A Chittenango            19- 3      16    17           0.00
   413 A Fulton                 14-26     -12    -5    --    -4.69
   420 H Cortland               16- 8       8     6           1.62
   422 A Auburn, NY             16-11       5     2    +      2.69
   424 A Homer                  13- 8       5    13    --    -5.00
   426 H Marcellus               5-19     -14   -11           0.00
   428 H Cazenovia              19-13       6     2    +      3.08
   508 H Bishop Ludden-Grimes   18- 8      10    11           0.00
   509 A Skaneateles             6-19     -13   -13           0.00
   510 A Onondaga               16- 9       7    14    -     -3.00
   512 H Jordan-Elbridge        15-17      -2     0    -     -2.15
   515 H Tully                  16-12       4     3           0.71
   517 A Oswego                 23-11      12    11           0.00
   523 A Westhill, NY           12-20      -8    -6          -1.80

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Fulton                 14-26     -12    -5    --    -4.69
   424 A Homer                  13- 8       5    13    --    -5.00
   401 A General Brown          11- 6       5     7    -     -2.01
   404 A Westhill, NY           10-19      -9    -6    -     -2.80
   510 A Onondaga               16- 9       7    14    -     -3.00
   512 H Jordan-Elbridge        15-17      -2     0    -     -2.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Tully                  18-13       5     1    +      3.00
   422 A Auburn, NY             16-11       5     2    +      2.69
   428 H Cazenovia              19-13       6     2    +      3.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.18 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.38 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/