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Region = VA 4A North Nickname = A Mustangs Coach = Courtney GibbonsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.3094482 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 323 H Yorktown, VA VA 6A North ( 8- 9, 86.0) 21-16 324 H Tuscarora, VA VA 5A North ( 8- 6, 80.7) 17- 4 328 A Loudoun Valley VA 4A North ( 2-13, 69.6) 20- 5 330 A Freedom, South Riding VA 4A North (10- 6, 84.3) 17- 6 403 H Riverside, VA VA 4A North (18- 1, 94.8) 9-16 404 A Washington-Lee VA 6A North ( 7- 8, 77.3) 19- 1 407 A Bishop O'Connell DC WCAC ( 6-10, 76.2) 11-10 421 A Loudoun County VA 4A North ( 8- 7, 79.8) 22- 5 425 A Rock Ridge VA 4A North ( 8- 7, 78.6) 23- 4 426 H Woodgrove VA 4A North (10- 8, 83.8) 20- 2 427 H Park View VA 4A North ( 1-12, 58.0) 22- 2 501 H Dominion VA 4A North (12- 6, 88.0) 15-12 505 H Heritage, VA VA 4A North ( 0-12, 64.8) 23- 3 509 A John Champe VA 4A North ( 4-11, 74.7) 19- 9 518 H Freedom, South Riding VA 4A North (10- 6, 84.3) 14- 7 522 H Dominion VA 4A North (12- 6, 88.0) 15-12 530 H Woodgrove VA 4A North (10- 8, 83.8) 17- 8 602 A Riverside, VA VA 4A North (18- 1, 94.8) 6-17 606 A Salem, VA VA 4A South (16- 4, 84.7) 17- 8 610 N Riverside, VA VA 4A North (18- 1, 94.8) 15-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 H Yorktown, VA 21-16 5 9 -- -4.73 324 H Tuscarora, VA 17- 4 13 15 0.00 328 A Loudoun Valley 20- 5 15 23 0.00 330 A Freedom, South Riding 17- 6 11 9 0.81 403 H Riverside, VA 9-16 -7 0 --- -7.92 404 A Washington-Lee 19- 1 18 16 0.00 407 A Bishop O'Connell 11-10 1 17 n/a 421 A Loudoun County 22- 5 17 13 0.00 425 A Rock Ridge 23- 4 19 14 0.00 426 H Woodgrove 20- 2 18 11 0.00 427 H Park View 22- 2 20 37 0.00 501 H Dominion 15-12 3 7 -- -4.75 505 H Heritage, VA 23- 3 20 30 0.00 509 A John Champe 19- 9 10 18 0.00 518 H Freedom, South Riding 14- 7 7 11 - -3.00 522 H Dominion 15-12 3 7 -- -4.75 530 H Woodgrove 17- 8 9 11 -1.00 602 A Riverside, VA 6-17 -11 -1 --- -8.62 606 A Salem, VA 17- 8 9 8 0.25 610 N Riverside, VA 15-14 1 0 1.23UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H Riverside, VA 9-16 -7 0 --- -7.92 407 A Bishop O'Connell 11-10 1 17 --- 602 A Riverside, VA 6-17 -11 -1 --- -8.62 323 H Yorktown, VA 21-16 5 9 -- -4.73 501 H Dominion 15-12 3 7 -- -4.75 522 H Dominion 15-12 3 7 -- -4.75 518 H Freedom, South Riding 14- 7 7 11 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.60 Local Power Rank........... 6 Local SOS Rating......... 61.16 Local SOS Rank............. 26 Local RPI Rating......... 0.65 Local RPI Rank............. 7 Championship Probability . 3.0 Championship Rank ....... 9 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 17.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 18- 2 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 9.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3