Region = VA 4A North            
   Nickname = A Mustangs             Coach  =   Courtney Gibbons      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.3094482    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Yorktown, VA           VA 6A North   ( 8- 9, 86.0)    21-16   
 324 H Tuscarora, VA          VA 5A North   ( 8- 6, 80.7)    17- 4   
 328 A Loudoun Valley         VA 4A North   ( 2-13, 69.6)    20- 5   
 330 A Freedom, South Riding  VA 4A North   (10- 6, 84.3)    17- 6   
 403 H Riverside, VA          VA 4A North   (18- 1, 94.8)     9-16   
 404 A Washington-Lee         VA 6A North   ( 7- 8, 77.3)    19- 1   
 407 A Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 6-10, 76.2)    11-10   
 421 A Loudoun County         VA 4A North   ( 8- 7, 79.8)    22- 5   
 425 A Rock Ridge             VA 4A North   ( 8- 7, 78.6)    23- 4   
 426 H Woodgrove              VA 4A North   (10- 8, 83.8)    20- 2   
 427 H Park View              VA 4A North   ( 1-12, 58.0)    22- 2   
 501 H Dominion               VA 4A North   (12- 6, 88.0)    15-12   
 505 H Heritage, VA           VA 4A North   ( 0-12, 64.8)    23- 3   
 509 A John Champe            VA 4A North   ( 4-11, 74.7)    19- 9   
 518 H Freedom, South Riding  VA 4A North   (10- 6, 84.3)    14- 7   
 522 H Dominion               VA 4A North   (12- 6, 88.0)    15-12   
 530 H Woodgrove              VA 4A North   (10- 8, 83.8)    17- 8   
 602 A Riverside, VA          VA 4A North   (18- 1, 94.8)     6-17   
 606 A Salem, VA              VA 4A South   (16- 4, 84.7)    17- 8   
 610 N Riverside, VA          VA 4A North   (18- 1, 94.8)    15-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Yorktown, VA           21-16       5     9    --    -4.73
   324 H Tuscarora, VA          17- 4      13    15           0.00
   328 A Loudoun Valley         20- 5      15    23           0.00
   330 A Freedom, South Riding  17- 6      11     9           0.81
   403 H Riverside, VA           9-16      -7     0    ---   -7.92
   404 A Washington-Lee         19- 1      18    16           0.00
   407 A Bishop O'Connell       11-10       1    17          n/a  
   421 A Loudoun County         22- 5      17    13           0.00
   425 A Rock Ridge             23- 4      19    14           0.00
   426 H Woodgrove              20- 2      18    11           0.00
   427 H Park View              22- 2      20    37           0.00
   501 H Dominion               15-12       3     7    --    -4.75
   505 H Heritage, VA           23- 3      20    30           0.00
   509 A John Champe            19- 9      10    18           0.00
   518 H Freedom, South Riding  14- 7       7    11    -     -3.00
   522 H Dominion               15-12       3     7    --    -4.75
   530 H Woodgrove              17- 8       9    11          -1.00
   602 A Riverside, VA           6-17     -11    -1    ---   -8.62
   606 A Salem, VA              17- 8       9     8           0.25
   610 N Riverside, VA          15-14       1     0           1.23

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Riverside, VA           9-16      -7     0    ---   -7.92
   407 A Bishop O'Connell       11-10       1    17    ---        
   602 A Riverside, VA           6-17     -11    -1    ---   -8.62
   323 H Yorktown, VA           21-16       5     9    --    -4.73
   501 H Dominion               15-12       3     7    --    -4.75
   522 H Dominion               15-12       3     7    --    -4.75
   518 H Freedom, South Riding  14- 7       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.60 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.16 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   17.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    9.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/