Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Bombers              Coach  =   Kate Warmer           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.0006104    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  (10- 8, 77.6)    10-13   
 415 A Amherst-Pelham         MA    C/W D1  ( 5-15, 67.2)    19- 8   
 418 A Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (12- 8, 81.2)     7-18   
 419 H Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (19- 5, 93.5)     6-17   
 421 H Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (16- 5, 88.7)     7-19   
 425 A Chicopee Comp          MA    C/W D2  ( 4-12, 58.6)    17- 1   
 428 A West Springfield, MA   MA    C/W D1  ( 7-11, 71.5)    16-17   
 502 A Granby, MA             MA    C/W D2  (11- 5, 72.5)    21- 9   
 503 H East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  (10- 8, 77.6)     7- 9   
 505 A South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 3-15, 65.9)    20- 5   
 509 H Amherst-Pelham         MA    C/W D1  ( 5-15, 67.2)    14-12   
 512 H Belchertown            MA    C/W D2  ( 6-13, 71.4)    15-11   
 514 A Mt. Greylock Regional  MA    C/W D2  (16- 4, 79.4)    12-11   
 517 H Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 87.9)     6-18   
 520 A Belchertown            MA    C/W D2  ( 6-13, 71.4)    12- 9   
 523 H West Springfield, MA   MA    C/W D1  ( 7-11, 71.5)    18-11   
 525 H Granby, MA             MA    C/W D2  (11- 5, 72.5)   
 601 A Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (12- 8, 81.2)    10-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A East Longmeadow        10-13      -3    -1          -1.20
   415 A Amherst-Pelham         19- 8      11     8           1.40
   418 A Northampton, MA         7-18     -11    -5    --    -4.57
   419 H Longmeadow              6-17     -11   -16           0.00
   421 H Minnechaug              7-19     -12   -11           0.00
   425 A Chicopee Comp          17- 1      16    17           0.00
   428 A West Springfield, MA   16-17      -1     4    --    -5.34
   502 A Granby, MA             21- 9      12     3    +++    6.69
   503 H East Longmeadow         7- 9      -2     0          -1.63
   505 A South Hadley           20- 5      15     9           0.12
   509 H Amherst-Pelham         14-12       2    10    ---   -8.00
   512 H Belchertown            15-11       4     5          -1.88
   514 A Mt. Greylock Regional  12-11       1    -3    ++     4.61
   517 H Agawam                  6-18     -12   -10           0.00
   520 A Belchertown            12- 9       3     4          -1.45
   523 H West Springfield, MA   18-11       7     5           1.23
   601 A Northampton, MA        10-20     -10    -5    --    -4.57

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Amherst-Pelham         14-12       2    10    ---   -8.00
   418 A Northampton, MA         7-18     -11    -5    --    -4.57
   428 A West Springfield, MA   16-17      -1     4    --    -5.34
   601 A Northampton, MA        10-20     -10    -5    --    -4.57

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Granby, MA             21- 9      12     3    +++    6.69
   514 A Mt. Greylock Regional  12-11       1    -3    ++     4.61
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.53 Local Power Rank...........    73
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.90 Local SOS Rank.............    79
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    80
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   192
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    77
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/