Region = DC    ISL AA           
   Nickname = D Gators               Coach  =   Kara Thiede           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.1635208    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 310 H St. John's College, DC DC    WCAC    (11-10, 80.3)    16-10   
 315 A Elizabeth Seton        DC    WCAC    ( 5- 9, 75.6)    13- 6   
 323 H St. James School       DC    Indep   (10- 3, 75.1)    17- 6   
 407 H Georgetown Visitation  DC    ISL AA  (16- 7, 90.9)     4-12   
 412 H Potomac School         DC    ISL AA  (15- 7, 85.8)    10- 9  o
 415 H Bullis School          DC    ISL AA  ( 8-11, 78.7)    15- 8   
 418 A Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 2-15, 71.7)    16-13   
 421 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes DC    ISL AA  (25- 1, 99.9)     6-20   
 426 A Madeira School, DC     DC    ISL A   ( 2-11, 66.3)    18- 5   
 428 H Holy Child, MD         DC    ISL AA  ( 2-12, 76.9)    11- 7   
 503 A Flint Hill School      DC    ISL AA  ( 8-13, 80.7)    11-10   
 505 H Holton-Arms School     DC    ISL AA  (11- 9, 85.5)     7- 9   
 510 A Episcopal, VA          DC    ISL A   (14- 7, 83.6)    13-12   
 512 H Holton-Arms School     DC    ISL AA  (11- 9, 85.5)     4-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H St. John's College, DC 16-10       6     6          -0.30
   315 A Elizabeth Seton        13- 6       7     6           0.22
   323 H St. James School       17- 6      11    11           0.00
   407 H Georgetown Visitation   4-12      -8    -4    -     -3.69
   412 H Potomac School         10- 9  o    1     0           0.26
   415 H Bullis School          15- 8       7     7          -0.85
   418 A Bishop O'Connell       16-13       3    10    ---   -7.00
   421 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  6-20     -14   -17           0.00
   426 A Madeira School, DC     18- 5      13    15           0.00
   428 H Holy Child, MD         11- 7       4     9    --    -5.67
   503 A Flint Hill School      11-10       1     1          -0.63
   505 H Holton-Arms School      7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.12
   510 A Episcopal, VA          13-12       1    -1    +      2.24
   512 H Holton-Arms School      4-14     -10     1    ---  -11.12

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Bishop O'Connell       16-13       3    10    ---   -7.00
   512 H Holton-Arms School      4-14     -10     1    ---  -11.12
   428 H Holy Child, MD         11- 7       4     9    --    -5.67
   407 H Georgetown Visitation   4-12      -8    -4    -     -3.69
   505 H Holton-Arms School      7- 9      -2     1    -     -3.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Episcopal, VA          13-12       1    -1    +      2.24
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.46 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.48 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating.100.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/