Region = CT Class L
Nickname = T Bears Coach = Al Morgenthaler
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GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.6821289
Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score
402 H Stamford CT Class L ( 9- 7, 82.0) 8- 8
405 H Staples CT Class L ( 9- 7, 86.0) 10- 7
408 A Westhill, CT CT Class L ( 2-14, 69.8) 12- 8
411 A Weston, CT CT Class S (10- 9, 81.2) 11- 8
412 H St. Joseph, CT CT Class S (11- 9, 80.7) 12-11
416 H Bethel, CT CT Class M ( 5-10, 70.8) 12- 5
419 H Brien McMahon CT Class L ( 3-13, 70.9) 14- 4
425 H Guilford, CT CT Class M ( 9- 9, 80.3) 8- 9 o
427 H Ridgefield CT Class L (16- 3, 92.9) 4- 9
428 A Wilton CT Class L (10-10, 89.4) 5-16
503 H Fairfield Warde CT Class L (14- 6, 89.1) 7-13
507 A Fairfield Ludlowe CT Class L ( 9- 9, 85.4) 15-13
511 A Darien CT Class L (21- 1, 99.9) 5-19
512 A New Canaan CT Class M (19- 4, 95.0) 3-15
514 A Trumbull CT Class L ( 8- 9, 77.2) 14- 6
516 H New Milford CT Class L ( 2-13, 67.1) 12- 5
520 A New Canaan CT Class M (19- 4, 95.0) 4-14
531 A Greenwich HS, CT CT Class L (14- 7, 89.8) 8-11
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PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
402 H Stamford 8- 8 0 1 -1.64
405 H Staples 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.33
408 A Westhill, CT 12- 8 4 11 --- -6.00
411 A Weston, CT 11- 8 3 0 + 3.00
412 H St. Joseph, CT 12-11 1 3 - -2.01
416 H Bethel, CT 12- 5 7 12 - -3.00
419 H Brien McMahon 14- 4 10 12 0.00
425 H Guilford, CT 8- 9 o -1 3 -- -4.33
427 H Ridgefield 4- 9 -5 -9 ++ 4.24
428 A Wilton 5-16 -11 -8 -1.76
503 H Fairfield Warde 7-13 -6 -5 -0.56
507 A Fairfield Ludlowe 15-13 2 -4 +++ 6.24
511 A Darien 5-19 -14 -18 0.00
512 A New Canaan 3-15 -12 -13 0.00
514 A Trumbull 14- 6 8 3 ++ 4.09
516 H New Milford 12- 5 7 16 - -3.00
520 A New Canaan 4-14 -10 -13 0.00
531 A Greenwich HS, CT 8-11 -3 -8 ++ 5.62
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
408 A Westhill, CT 12- 8 4 11 --- -6.00
425 H Guilford, CT 8- 9 o -1 3 -- -4.33
412 H St. Joseph, CT 12-11 1 3 - -2.01
416 H Bethel, CT 12- 5 7 12 - -3.00
516 H New Milford 12- 5 7 16 - -3.00
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OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
507 A Fairfield Ludlowe 15-13 2 -4 +++ 6.24
405 H Staples 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.33
427 H Ridgefield 4- 9 -5 -9 ++ 4.24
514 A Trumbull 14- 6 8 3 ++ 4.09
531 A Greenwich HS, CT 8-11 -3 -8 ++ 5.62
411 A Weston, CT 11- 8 3 0 + 3.00
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LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING
Local Power Rating....... 82.42 Local Power Rank........... 21
Local SOS Rating......... 65.17 Local SOS Rank............. 9
Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 26
Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 58
Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 22
LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING
Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.1
Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.9
Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -10.2
Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.7
Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.2
Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.0
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