Region = MN    MSHSL            
   Nickname = N Polar Bears          Coach  =   Megan Ahlers          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   69.1840134    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 418 A Columbia Heights       MN    MSHSL   ( 4-10, 59.8)    12- 7   
 421 A Hill-Murray School     MN    MSHSL   (12- 2, 82.7)     3-24   
 426 A Mahtomedi              MN    MSHSL   ( 9- 4, 77.8)     7-20   
 428 H Hastings, MN           MN    MSHSL   ( 2-12, 60.4)    10-11   
 430 H White Bear Lake Area   MN    MSHSL   ( 3-11, 68.9)     9-20   
 502 A St. Croix Prep Acad    MN    MSHSL   ( 6- 8, 66.4)     6- 8   
 503 H Columbia Heights       MN    MSHSL   ( 4-10, 59.8)    15- 5   
 505 H Hill-Murray School     MN    MSHSL   (12- 2, 82.7)     4-19   
 511 H Mahtomedi              MN    MSHSL   ( 9- 4, 77.8)     6-16   
 512 A Tartan                 MN    MSHSL   ( 8- 5, 73.6)     5-12   
 517 A Hastings, MN           MN    MSHSL   ( 2-12, 60.4)     9- 5   
 523 A Minnehaha Academy      MN    MSHSL   ( 2-13, 61.7)     8- 5   
 524 H Tartan                 MN    MSHSL   ( 8- 5, 73.6)     8-18   
 531 A St. Croix Prep Acad    MN    MSHSL   ( 6- 8, 66.4)     5-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Columbia Heights       12- 7       5     1    +      3.14
   421 A Hill-Murray School      3-24     -21   -21           0.00
   426 A Mahtomedi               7-20     -13   -16           0.00
   428 H Hastings, MN           10-11      -1     2    -     -3.77
   430 H White Bear Lake Area    9-20     -11    -5    --    -4.27
   502 A St. Croix Prep Acad     6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.69
   503 H Columbia Heights       15- 5      10     3    +++    6.63
   505 H Hill-Murray School      4-19     -15   -19           0.00
   511 H Mahtomedi               6-16     -10   -14           0.00
   512 A Tartan                  5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   517 A Hastings, MN            9- 5       4     1    +      2.74
   523 A Minnehaha Academy       8- 5       3     0    +      3.05
   524 H Tartan                  8-18     -10   -10           0.00
   531 A St. Croix Prep Acad     5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H White Bear Lake Area    9-20     -11    -5    --    -4.27
   428 H Hastings, MN           10-11      -1     2    -     -3.77
   531 A St. Croix Prep Acad     5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Columbia Heights       15- 5      10     3    +++    6.63
   418 A Columbia Heights       12- 7       5     1    +      3.14
   502 A St. Croix Prep Acad     6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.69
   512 A Tartan                  5-12      -7   -11    +      3.00
   517 A Hastings, MN            9- 5       4     1    +      2.74
   523 A Minnehaha Academy       8- 5       3     0    +      3.05
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 62.42 Local Power Rank...........    71
 Local SOS Rating......... 41.22 Local SOS Rank.............    74
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.38 Local RPI Rank.............    67
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    52
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    66
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/