Region = MA    No D1            
   Nickname = A Chieftains           Coach  =   Alan McCarthy         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.2437057    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A Acton-Boxborough       MA    East D1 (15- 7, 88.1)     8-13   
 407 A Newburyport            MA    No D2   (14- 4, 85.9)     9- 8  o
 411 H Marblehead             MA    No D2   (22- 2, 86.6)     8- 9  o
 413 H Hamilton-Wenham        MA    No D2   ( 6-10, 73.6)    15- 4   
 415 A Ipswich                MA    No D2   (14- 6, 82.1)    17-10   
 419 H Danvers                MA    No D1   (12- 8, 78.4)    15- 4   
 425 H Triton Regional, MA    MA    No D2   ( 4-14, 69.4)    10- 1   
 428 A North Andover          MA    No D1   (22- 4, 91.4)     8- 9   
 429 A Lynnfield              MA    No D2   (10- 9, 75.1)     7- 2   
 503 H Newburyport            MA    No D2   (14- 4, 85.9)    12- 8   
 505 A Exeter Area HS, NH     NH    DI      (10- 9, 89.4)    13-10   
 506 A North Reading          MA    No D2   ( 3-13, 66.8)    15- 5   
 510 H Pentucket Regional     MA    No D2   ( 7-10, 74.7)    17- 8   
 511 A Concord-Carlisle       MA    East D1 (16- 6, 90.0)    11-17   
 513 A Manchester-Essex       MA    No D2   (17- 3, 84.2)    14- 6   
 516 A Georgetown, MA         MA    No D2   ( 7-11, 69.1)    18- 7   
 518 H Andover, MA            MA    No D1   (13- 9, 83.3)    19-10   
 523 H Reading Memorial       MA    No D1   ( 7-11, 74.2)    22-10   
 531 H Salem, MA              MA    No D1   (10-11, 67.4)    14- 1   
 602 H Danvers                MA    No D1   (12- 8, 78.4)    15- 8   
 607 H Andover, MA            MA    No D1   (13- 9, 83.3)    13- 8   
 609 A North Andover          MA    No D1   (22- 4, 91.4)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Acton-Boxborough        8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.52
   407 A Newburyport             9- 8  o    1     0           0.24
   411 H Marblehead              8- 9  o   -1     1    -     -2.43
   413 H Hamilton-Wenham        15- 4      11    14           0.00
   415 A Ipswich                17-10       7     4    +      2.40
   419 H Danvers                15- 4      11     9           0.36
   425 H Triton Regional, MA    10- 1       9    18          -1.00
   428 A North Andover           8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.73
   429 A Lynnfield               7- 2       5    11    --    -5.00
   503 H Newburyport            12- 8       4     2           1.81
   505 A Exeter Area HS, NH     13-10       3    -2          n/a  
   506 A North Reading          15- 5      10    19           0.00
   510 H Pentucket Regional     17- 8       9    13          -1.00
   511 A Concord-Carlisle       11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.68
   513 A Manchester-Essex       14- 6       8     2    ++     5.56
   516 A Georgetown, MA         18- 7      11    17           0.00
   518 H Andover, MA            19-10       9     4    ++     4.17
   523 H Reading Memorial       22-10      12    13           0.00
   531 H Salem, MA              14- 1      13    20           0.00
   602 H Danvers                15- 8       7     9    -     -2.64
   607 H Andover, MA            13- 8       5     4           0.17
   609 A North Andover           6- 9      -3    -4           1.73

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Lynnfield               7- 2       5    11    --    -5.00
   406 A Acton-Boxborough        8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.52
   411 H Marblehead              8- 9  o   -1     1    -     -2.43
   511 A Concord-Carlisle       11-17      -6    -3    -     -2.68
   602 H Danvers                15- 8       7     9    -     -2.64

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Exeter Area HS, NH     13-10       3    -2    ++         
   513 A Manchester-Essex       14- 6       8     2    ++     5.56
   518 H Andover, MA            19-10       9     4    ++     4.17
   415 A Ipswich                17-10       7     4    +      2.40
   428 A North Andover           8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.73
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.36 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.99 Local SOS Rank.............    30
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   108
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/