Herndon                       3 - 8


 
                                     Region = VA 6A North            
   Nickname = A Hornets              Coach  =   Lindsey Felton        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   86.3734360    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Potomac Falls          VA 5A North   (19- 1, 91.2)    14-16   
 317 H Dominion               VA 4A North   (14- 2, 87.6)    14-17   
 328 H South Lakes            VA 6A North   ( 5- 7, 79.0)    11-15   
 330 H Oakton                 VA 6A North   ( 5- 8, 81.2)     7- 8   
 401 A Westfield, VA          VA 6A North   ( 8- 8, 84.3)     7-14   
 408 H Centreville            VA 6A North   (15- 7, 90.7)     7-10   
 419 H Chantilly              VA 6A North   (10- 5, 84.1)    14-13   
 421 A Falls Church           VA 5A North   ( 6- 8, 66.8)    22- 4   
 426 A Robinson Secondary, VA VA 6A North   (21- 0, 99.9)     7-19   
 428 H Broad Run              VA 5A North   ( 5-11, 75.0)    13-11   
 506 A Centreville            VA 6A North   (15- 7, 90.7)     4-15   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Potomac Falls          14-16      -2   -13    +++    8.00
   317 H Dominion               14-17      -3    -7    ++     4.81
   328 H South Lakes            11-15      -4     0    --    -4.74
   330 H Oakton                  7- 8      -1    -1           0.39
   401 A Westfield, VA           7-14      -7    -6          -0.66
   408 H Centreville             7-10      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   419 H Chantilly              14-13       1    -4    ++     5.30
   421 A Falls Church           22- 4      18    11           0.00
   426 A Robinson Secondary, VA  7-19     -12   -21           0.00
   428 H Broad Run              13-11       2     4    -     -2.79
   506 A Centreville             4-15     -11   -12           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H South Lakes            11-15      -4     0    --    -4.74
   428 H Broad Run              13-11       2     4    -     -2.79


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Potomac Falls          14-16      -2   -13    +++    8.00
   408 H Centreville             7-10      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   317 H Dominion               14-17      -3    -7    ++     4.81
   419 H Chantilly              14-13       1    -4    ++     5.30




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.85 Local Power Rank...........    41
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.08 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    49
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    58
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    54
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.0


  
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