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Region = VA 4A North Nickname = A Mustangs Coach = Courtney GibbonsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.1872177 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 314 H Bishop O'Connell DC WCAC ( 2-15, 71.7) 12- 9 317 A Tuscarora, VA VA 5A North ( 8- 6, 77.4) 21- 8 328 H Washington-Lee VA 6A North ( 5- 8, 72.7) 21- 3 331 H Brighton, NY NY B Sec 5 (10- 8, 91.7) 4-14 407 H Freedom, South Riding VA 4A North (17- 1, 84.5) 16-17 411 A Riverside, VA VA 4A North (10- 5, 79.8) 19-10 414 H Loudoun County VA 4A North ( 7- 8, 77.1) 17- 5 418 A Dominion VA 4A North (14- 2, 87.6) 11-15 421 H Loudoun Valley VA 4A North ( 6-11, 75.8) 19- 9 425 A Woodgrove VA 4A North (18- 3, 90.5) 10-12 428 H Park View VA 4A North ( 0-10, 54.3) 22- 0 502 A Heritage, VA VA 4A North ( 0-14, 62.4) 25- 8 505 H Rock Ridge VA 4A North ( 6- 9, 71.2) 21- 7 517 H Loudoun County VA 4A North ( 7- 8, 77.1) 16- 9 519 A Dominion VA 4A North (14- 2, 87.6) 12- 8 523 A Woodgrove VA 4A North (18- 3, 90.5) 12-11 531 H John Champe VA 4A North (10- 8, 74.1) 23- 6 602 H Woodgrove VA 4A North (18- 3, 90.5) 11-16 607 A Western Albemarle VA 4A South (16- 4, 81.4) 12- 7 611 N Woodgrove VA 4A North (18- 3, 90.5) 6-18PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H Bishop O'Connell 12- 9 3 16 n/a 317 A Tuscarora, VA 21- 8 13 8 1.34 328 H Washington-Lee 21- 3 18 15 0.00 331 H Brighton, NY 4-14 -10 -4 n/a 407 H Freedom, South Riding 16-17 -1 3 -- -4.44 411 A Riverside, VA 19-10 9 6 + 2.76 414 H Loudoun County 17- 5 12 10 0.00 418 A Dominion 11-15 -4 -1 - -2.44 421 H Loudoun Valley 19- 9 10 12 0.00 425 A Woodgrove 10-12 -2 -4 + 2.43 428 H Park View 22- 0 22 33 0.00 502 A Heritage, VA 25- 8 17 23 0.00 505 H Rock Ridge 21- 7 14 16 0.00 517 H Loudoun County 16- 9 7 10 - -3.00 519 A Dominion 12- 8 4 -1 ++ 5.56 523 A Woodgrove 12-11 1 -4 ++ 5.43 531 H John Champe 23- 6 17 13 0.00 602 H Woodgrove 11-16 -5 -2 - -2.44 607 A Western Albemarle 12- 7 5 4 0.32 611 N Woodgrove 6-18 -12 -3 --- -6.51UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H Bishop O'Connell 12- 9 3 16 --- 611 N Woodgrove 6-18 -12 -3 --- -6.51 331 H Brighton, NY 4-14 -10 -4 -- 407 H Freedom, South Riding 16-17 -1 3 -- -4.44 418 A Dominion 11-15 -4 -1 - -2.44 517 H Loudoun County 16- 9 7 10 - -3.00 602 H Woodgrove 11-16 -5 -2 - -2.44OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 519 A Dominion 12- 8 4 -1 ++ 5.56 523 A Woodgrove 12-11 1 -4 ++ 5.43 411 A Riverside, VA 19-10 9 6 + 2.76 425 A Woodgrove 10-12 -2 -4 + 2.43/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.97 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 57.79 Local SOS Rank............. 26 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 7 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 49 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 14 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0