Region = VA 4A North            
   Nickname = A Mustangs             Coach  =   Courtney Gibbons      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.1872177    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 2-15, 71.7)    12- 9   
 317 A Tuscarora, VA          VA 5A North   ( 8- 6, 77.4)    21- 8   
 328 H Washington-Lee         VA 6A North   ( 5- 8, 72.7)    21- 3   
 331 H Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (10- 8, 91.7)     4-14   
 407 H Freedom, South Riding  VA 4A North   (17- 1, 84.5)    16-17   
 411 A Riverside, VA          VA 4A North   (10- 5, 79.8)    19-10   
 414 H Loudoun County         VA 4A North   ( 7- 8, 77.1)    17- 5   
 418 A Dominion               VA 4A North   (14- 2, 87.6)    11-15   
 421 H Loudoun Valley         VA 4A North   ( 6-11, 75.8)    19- 9   
 425 A Woodgrove              VA 4A North   (18- 3, 90.5)    10-12   
 428 H Park View              VA 4A North   ( 0-10, 54.3)    22- 0   
 502 A Heritage, VA           VA 4A North   ( 0-14, 62.4)    25- 8   
 505 H Rock Ridge             VA 4A North   ( 6- 9, 71.2)    21- 7   
 517 H Loudoun County         VA 4A North   ( 7- 8, 77.1)    16- 9   
 519 A Dominion               VA 4A North   (14- 2, 87.6)    12- 8   
 523 A Woodgrove              VA 4A North   (18- 3, 90.5)    12-11   
 531 H John Champe            VA 4A North   (10- 8, 74.1)    23- 6   
 602 H Woodgrove              VA 4A North   (18- 3, 90.5)    11-16   
 607 A Western Albemarle      VA 4A South   (16- 4, 81.4)    12- 7   
 611 N Woodgrove              VA 4A North   (18- 3, 90.5)     6-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Bishop O'Connell       12- 9       3    16          n/a  
   317 A Tuscarora, VA          21- 8      13     8           1.34
   328 H Washington-Lee         21- 3      18    15           0.00
   331 H Brighton, NY            4-14     -10    -4          n/a  
   407 H Freedom, South Riding  16-17      -1     3    --    -4.44
   411 A Riverside, VA          19-10       9     6    +      2.76
   414 H Loudoun County         17- 5      12    10           0.00
   418 A Dominion               11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.44
   421 H Loudoun Valley         19- 9      10    12           0.00
   425 A Woodgrove              10-12      -2    -4    +      2.43
   428 H Park View              22- 0      22    33           0.00
   502 A Heritage, VA           25- 8      17    23           0.00
   505 H Rock Ridge             21- 7      14    16           0.00
   517 H Loudoun County         16- 9       7    10    -     -3.00
   519 A Dominion               12- 8       4    -1    ++     5.56
   523 A Woodgrove              12-11       1    -4    ++     5.43
   531 H John Champe            23- 6      17    13           0.00
   602 H Woodgrove              11-16      -5    -2    -     -2.44
   607 A Western Albemarle      12- 7       5     4           0.32
   611 N Woodgrove               6-18     -12    -3    ---   -6.51

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Bishop O'Connell       12- 9       3    16    ---        
   611 N Woodgrove               6-18     -12    -3    ---   -6.51
   331 H Brighton, NY            4-14     -10    -4    --         
   407 H Freedom, South Riding  16-17      -1     3    --    -4.44
   418 A Dominion               11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.44
   517 H Loudoun County         16- 9       7    10    -     -3.00
   602 H Woodgrove              11-16      -5    -2    -     -2.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 A Dominion               12- 8       4    -1    ++     5.56
   523 A Woodgrove              12-11       1    -4    ++     5.43
   411 A Riverside, VA          19-10       9     6    +      2.76
   425 A Woodgrove              10-12      -2    -4    +      2.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.97 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.79 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    49
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/