Region = MA    C/W D2           
   Nickname = A Orioles              Coach  =   Jeff Bowers           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.1624451    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (12- 8, 81.2)     3-11   
 411 H Chicopee Comp          MA    C/W D2  ( 4-12, 58.6)    17- 1   
 414 H Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (16- 5, 88.7)     3-14   
 419 H Amherst-Pelham         MA    C/W D1  ( 5-15, 67.2)    20- 7   
 422 H Wahconah Regional      MA    C/W D2  (15- 5, 78.7)     7-10   
 425 A Chicopee               MA    C/W D2  ( 9- 8, 66.4)    16- 5   
 426 A East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  (10- 8, 77.6)     6- 8   
 429 A West Springfield, MA   MA    C/W D1  ( 7-11, 71.5)     9-13   
 502 A Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 87.9)     2-17   
 504 A St. Mary's, Westfield  MA    C/W D2  ( 0-15, 50.1)    19- 2   
 506 H South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 3-15, 65.9)    13- 7   
 509 H East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  (10- 8, 77.6)     7- 8   
 512 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    C/W D1  ( 9- 8, 76.5)    11-15   
 513 H West Springfield, MA   MA    C/W D1  ( 7-11, 71.5)    16-14   
 516 A Amherst-Pelham         MA    C/W D1  ( 5-15, 67.2)    14-15   
 517 A Granby, MA             MA    C/W D2  (11- 5, 72.5)    11-13   
 520 H Westfield HS, MA       MA    C/W D1  ( 9- 8, 76.5)     9-12   
 524 H Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (19- 5, 93.5)     1-19   
 531 A Littleton, MA          MA    C/W D2  (11- 8, 73.0)    10-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Northampton, MA         3-11      -8   -10    +      2.00
   411 H Chicopee Comp          17- 1      16    13           0.00
   414 H Minnechaug              3-14     -11   -16           0.00
   419 H Amherst-Pelham         20- 7      13     4    ++     5.14
   422 H Wahconah Regional       7-10      -3    -6    +      3.67
   425 A Chicopee               16- 5      11     4    ++     5.76
   426 A East Longmeadow         6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.97
   429 A West Springfield, MA    9-13      -4     0    -     -3.17
   502 A Agawam                  2-17     -15   -17           0.00
   504 A St. Mary's, Westfield  19- 2      17    20           0.00
   506 H South Hadley           13- 7       6     6          -0.14
   509 H East Longmeadow         7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.54
   512 A Westfield HS, MA       11-15      -4    -5           1.88
   513 H West Springfield, MA   16-14       2     0           1.40
   516 A Amherst-Pelham         14-15      -1     3    --    -4.44
   517 A Granby, MA             11-13      -2    -1          -0.14
   520 H Westfield HS, MA        9-12      -3    -4           1.45
   524 H Longmeadow              1-19     -18   -21           0.00
   531 A Littleton, MA          10-13      -3    -2          -0.60

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Amherst-Pelham         14-15      -1     3    --    -4.44
   429 A West Springfield, MA    9-13      -4     0    -     -3.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Amherst-Pelham         20- 7      13     4    ++     5.14
   425 A Chicopee               16- 5      11     4    ++     5.76
   426 A East Longmeadow         6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.97
   509 H East Longmeadow         7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.54
   402 A Northampton, MA         3-11      -8   -10    +      2.00
   422 H Wahconah Regional       7-10      -3    -6    +      3.67
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.36 Local Power Rank...........   113
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.44 Local SOS Rank.............    98
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............   130
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   149
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.0
/