Gov. Thomas Johnson           1 -11


 
                                     Region = MD    3A-2A            
   Nickname = D Patriots             Coach  =   Lindsey Chaffman      



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating = 71.69742

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Liberty, MD            MD    2A-1A   (12- 4, 93.1)     3-26   
 327 A South Hagerstown       MD    3A-2A   ( 0-12, 55.6)    11- 7   
 407 A Oakdale                MD    3A-2A   (10- 6, 88.5)     2-25   
 409 H Frederick              MD    3A-2A   ( 9- 5, 80.2)     3-19   
 415 H Tuscarora, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 3-11, 67.9)     5-11   
 416 A Urbana                 MD    4A-3A   ( 5-11, 75.6)     1-17   
 420 H Middletown, MD         MD    3A-2A   (11- 8, 86.6)     1-11   
 421 A Walkersville           MD    2A-1A   (13- 4, 82.1)     3-15   
 423 H Linganore              MD    4A-3A   ( 5-10, 69.3)    13-14   
 427 A Brunswick, MD          MD    2A-1A   ( 7- 8, 74.2)     8-17   
 428 H Smithsburg             MD    2A-1A   ( 7- 5, 73.5)    10-18   
 506 A Middletown, MD         MD    3A-2A   (11- 8, 86.6)     0-17   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Liberty, MD             3-26     -23   -30           0.00
   327 A South Hagerstown       11- 7       4     5          -1.66
   407 A Oakdale                 2-25     -23   -27           0.00
   409 H Frederick               3-19     -16   -17           0.00
   415 H Tuscarora, MD           5-11      -6    -4          -1.09
   416 A Urbana                  1-17     -16   -14           0.00
   420 H Middletown, MD          1-11     -10   -23           0.00
   421 A Walkersville            3-15     -12   -20           0.00
   423 H Linganore              13-14      -1    -6    ++     5.33
   427 A Brunswick, MD           8-17      -9   -12           1.00
   428 H Smithsburg             10-18      -8   -10    +      2.00
   506 A Middletown, MD          0-17     -17   -25           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Linganore              13-14      -1    -6    ++     5.33
   428 H Smithsburg             10-18      -8   -10    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 62.12 Local Power Rank...........   105
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.99 Local SOS Rank.............    48
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.38 Local RPI Rank.............   118
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    51
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   121
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   16.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -11.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -23.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -23.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -23.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -11.3


  
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