Region = DC    ISL AA           
   Nickname = D Gators               Coach  =   Kara Thiede           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 90.8179

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 310 H Holy Cross, MD         DC    WCAC    (16- 4, 94.2)     2-11   
 318 A St. John's College, DC DC    WCAC    ( 6-10, 80.3)    10- 5   
 319 A Oakton                 VA 6A North   (12- 7, 92.4)     4-11   
 323 H Elizabeth Seton        DC    WCAC    ( 3-10, 73.5)    17- 7   
 325 H Calverton School       MD    CALL    ( 7- 7, 85.1)    10- 5   
 407 H Flint Hill School      DC    ISL AA  (13- 7, 89.9)     9- 8   
 409 H Holy Child, MD         DC    ISL AA  ( 3- 7, 80.3)    14- 6   
 410 H Loyola Academy, IL     IL    GCAC    (24- 3, 99.9)     9-13   
 414 A Georgetown Visitation  DC    ISL AA  (14- 8, 94.1)     8-14   
 416 A Potomac School         DC    ISL AA  (12- 7, 85.5)    13-12   
 421 H Sts. Stephen's & Agnes DC    ISL AA  (28- 1, 99.9)     5-17   
 423 A Holton-Arms School     DC    ISL AA  ( 6- 9, 83.2)    14- 9   
 430 H Episcopal, VA          DC    ISL AA  ( 6-10, 79.4)    14- 8   
 505 A Bullis School          DC    ISL A   (14- 8, 81.7)    15- 6   
 507 H Holton-Arms School     DC    ISL AA  ( 6- 9, 83.2)    13- 7   
 509 A Georgetown Visitation  DC    ISL AA  (14- 8, 94.1)     3-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Holy Cross, MD          2-11      -9    -5    -     -3.54
   318 A St. John's College, DC 10- 5       5     6          -1.32
   319 A Oakton                  4-11      -7    -5          n/a  
   323 H Elizabeth Seton        17- 7      10    15           0.00
   325 H Calverton School       10- 5       5     3          n/a  
   407 H Flint Hill School       9- 8       1    -1    +      2.09
   409 H Holy Child, MD         14- 6       8     8          -0.46
   410 H Loyola Academy, IL      9-13      -4   -11          n/a  
   414 A Georgetown Visitation   8-14      -6    -7           1.43
   416 A Potomac School         13-12       1     1          -0.11
   421 H Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  5-17     -12   -11           0.00
   423 A Holton-Arms School     14- 9       5     3           1.54
   430 H Episcopal, VA          14- 8       6     9    -     -3.42
   505 A Bullis School          15- 6       9     4    ++     4.05
   507 H Holton-Arms School     13- 7       6     5           0.42
   509 A Georgetown Visitation   3-16     -13    -7    -     -2.57

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Holy Cross, MD          2-11      -9    -5    -     -3.54
   430 H Episcopal, VA          14- 8       6     9    -     -3.42
   509 A Georgetown Visitation   3-16     -13    -7    -     -2.57

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Loyola Academy, IL      9-13      -4   -11    +++        
   505 A Bullis School          15- 6       9     4    ++     4.05
   407 H Flint Hill School       9- 8       1    -1    +      2.09
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.71 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.20 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/