Region = VA 5A South            
   Nickname = A Black Panthers       Coach  =   Allison Hess          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 74.11123

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 A Mountain View, VA      VA 5A South   ( 9- 7, 68.7)    13-14 2o
 323 A North Stafford         VA 5A South   ( 7- 8, 66.4)    20-11   
 330 H Colonial Forge         VA 6A South   (17- 4, 77.2)    11-15   
 401 A Stafford               VA 6A South   ( 4-10, 62.8)    15- 9   
 413 H Brooke Point           VA 5A South   ( 2-11, 58.0)    18- 9   
 415 H Riverbend              VA 6A South   ( 5- 7, 66.5)    16-11   
 420 N James Monroe           VA 6A South   ( 0- 4, 43.9)    19- 2   
 423 A Riverbend              VA 6A South   ( 5- 7, 66.5)    13-12   
 427 H James Monroe           VA 6A South   ( 0- 4, 43.9)    18- 0   
 430 H Freedom, Prince Willia VA 5A South   ( 0- 7, 55.4)    15- 4   
 504 H Mountain View, VA      VA 5A South   ( 9- 7, 68.7)    16-10   
 507 H North Stafford         VA 5A South   ( 7- 8, 66.4)    19-15   
 511 H Potomac HS             VA 5A South   ( 3-10, 61.3)    20-13   
 515 A Brooke Point           VA 5A South   ( 2-11, 58.0)    13- 6   
 521 H Potomac HS             VA 5A South   ( 3-10, 61.3)    18-12   
 526 H North Stafford         VA 5A South   ( 7- 8, 66.4)    18-14   
 528 H Albemarle              VA 5A South   (11- 9, 77.7)     7-19   
 602 A Deep Run               VA 5A South   (15- 3, 78.7)    11-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Mountain View, VA      13-14 2o   -1     2    -     -3.71
   323 A North Stafford         20-11       9     4    ++     4.04
   330 H Colonial Forge         11-15      -4    -3          -0.19
   401 A Stafford               15- 9       6     8    -     -2.61
   413 H Brooke Point           18- 9       9    15          -1.00
   415 H Riverbend              16-11       5     6          -1.88
   420 N James Monroe           19- 2      17    28           0.00
   423 A Riverbend              13-12       1     4    -     -3.94
   427 H James Monroe           18- 0      18    29           0.00
   430 H Freedom, Prince Willia 15- 4      11    17           0.00
   504 H Mountain View, VA      16-10       6     4           1.34
   507 H North Stafford         19-15       4     6    -     -2.90
   511 H Potomac HS             20-13       7    12    -     -3.00
   515 A Brooke Point           13- 6       7    13    -     -3.00
   521 H Potomac HS             18-12       6    12    --    -4.00
   526 H North Stafford         18-14       4     6    -     -2.90
   528 H Albemarle               7-19     -12    -4    --    -5.70
   602 A Deep Run               11-21     -10    -7    -     -2.70

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 H Potomac HS             18-12       6    12    --    -4.00
   528 H Albemarle               7-19     -12    -4    --    -5.70
   319 A Mountain View, VA      13-14 2o   -1     2    -     -3.71
   401 A Stafford               15- 9       6     8    -     -2.61
   423 A Riverbend              13-12       1     4    -     -3.94
   507 H North Stafford         19-15       4     6    -     -2.90
   511 H Potomac HS             20-13       7    12    -     -3.00
   515 A Brooke Point           13- 6       7    13    -     -3.00
   526 H North Stafford         18-14       4     6    -     -2.90
   602 A Deep Run               11-21     -10    -7    -     -2.70

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A North Stafford         20-11       9     4    ++     4.04
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.37 Local Power Rank...........    63
 Local SOS Rating......... 33.78 Local SOS Rank.............   126
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    49
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    74
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0
/