Region = MA    No D1            
   Nickname = A Chieftains           Coach  =   Alan McCarthy         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 90.83475

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA    MA    East D1 (10- 7, 88.1)     6- 6 2o
 330 A Andover, MA            MA    No D1   (15- 6, 87.0)     3-16   
 414 H Newburyport            MA    No D2   (12- 6, 82.0)    12- 5   
 415 H Lynnfield              MA    No D2   ( 8-10, 74.3)    14- 2   
 417 A Marblehead             MA    No D2   (14- 5, 84.8)     9-10   
 423 A Danvers                MA    No D1   ( 6- 9, 77.3)    16- 4   
 424 A North Reading          MA    No D2   ( 3-11, 69.8)    17- 5   
 427 A Reading Memorial       MA    No D1   (12-11, 83.1)    10- 8   
 429 H Triton Regional, MA    MA    No D2   (13- 9, 80.6)    15- 4   
 501 A Georgetown, MA         MA    No D2   ( 7-11, 69.6)    14- 2   
 505 H Hamilton-Wenham        MA    No D2   ( 4- 9, 75.1)    15- 3   
 507 H Exeter Area HS, NH     NH    DI      (16- 5, 96.6)    14-15   
 512 H Manchester-Essex       MA    No D2   ( 7- 9, 77.5)    17- 4   
 515 H Concord-Carlisle       MA    East D1 (19- 2, 93.7)     6- 9   
 516 A Pentucket Regional     MA    No D2   ( 9- 6, 80.1)    15- 5   
 520 H North Andover          MA    No D1   (18- 6, 89.2)    13-12 2o
 522 A Ipswich                MA    No D2   (13- 6, 84.4)    14- 7   
 526 H Beverly                MA    No D1   (15- 5, 82.6)    18- 9   
 601 H Peabody Veterans Mem.  MA    No D1   ( 8- 9, 77.1)    16- 9   
 604 H Woburn Memorial        MA    No D1   (12- 5, 83.0)    10- 6   
 609 A North Andover          MA    No D1   (18- 6, 89.2)     9-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA     6- 6 2o    0     0           0.45
   330 A Andover, MA             3-16     -13     0    ---  -10.65
   414 H Newburyport            12- 5       7     7          -0.46
   415 H Lynnfield              14- 2      12    15           0.00
   417 A Marblehead              9-10      -1     2    -     -3.83
   423 A Danvers                16- 4      12    10           0.00
   424 A North Reading          17- 5      12    17           0.00
   427 A Reading Memorial       10- 8       2     4    -     -2.54
   429 H Triton Regional, MA    15- 4      11     8           1.18
   501 A Georgetown, MA         14- 2      12    18           0.00
   505 H Hamilton-Wenham        15- 3      12    14           0.00
   507 H Exeter Area HS, NH     14-15      -1    -7          n/a  
   512 H Manchester-Essex       17- 4      13    11           0.00
   515 H Concord-Carlisle        6- 9      -3    -4           1.29
   516 A Pentucket Regional     15- 5      10     7    +      2.43
   520 H North Andover          13-12 2o    1     0           0.76
   522 A Ipswich                14- 7       7     3    +      3.79
   526 H Beverly                18- 9       9     6    +      2.24
   601 H Peabody Veterans Mem.  16- 9       7    12    -     -3.00
   604 H Woburn Memorial        10- 6       4     6    -     -2.37
   609 A North Andover           9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.47

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Andover, MA             3-16     -13     0    ---  -10.65
   417 A Marblehead              9-10      -1     2    -     -3.83
   427 A Reading Memorial       10- 8       2     4    -     -2.54
   601 H Peabody Veterans Mem.  16- 9       7    12    -     -3.00
   604 H Woburn Memorial        10- 6       4     6    -     -2.37
   609 A North Andover           9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 H Exeter Area HS, NH     14-15      -1    -7    +++        
   516 A Pentucket Regional     15- 5      10     7    +      2.43
   522 A Ipswich                14- 7       7     3    +      3.79
   526 H Beverly                18- 9       9     6    +      2.24
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.53 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.98 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......   105
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/