Rochester Century, MN         6 - 7


 
                                     Region = MN    MSHSL            
   Nickname = N Panthers             Coach  =   Scott Swenson         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating = 80.74191

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 N Marshall-Lourdes       MN    MSHSL   ( 3-10, 69.1)    14- 3   
 416 H Farmington, MN         MN    MSHSL   (11- 5, 84.8)    10-15   
 418 A Lakeville South        MN    MSHSL   (18- 1, 97.2)     3-19   
 422 N Rochester Mayo         MN    MSHSL   ( 4-10, 68.2)    10- 9   
 423 H Owatonna               MN    MSHSL   ( 9- 5, 82.3)     1-11   
 428 A Shattuck-St. Mary's, M MN    MSHSL   ( 6- 1, 77.6)    14-17  o
 430 A Northfield             MN    MSHSL   ( 3-11, 68.6)    12- 8   
 509 H Champlin Park          MN    MSHSL   (15- 4, 84.0)     9-10   
 512 A Visitation-St. Paul    MN    MSHSL   (11- 4, 82.5)     8-17   
 515 A Rochester Mayo         MN    MSHSL   ( 4-10, 68.2)    14- 2   
 518 H Northfield             MN    MSHSL   ( 3-11, 68.6)    11- 7   
 521 H Marshall-Lourdes       MN    MSHSL   ( 3-10, 69.1)    11- 3   
 526 A Owatonna               MN    MSHSL   ( 9- 5, 82.3)     6-13   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 N Marshall-Lourdes       14- 3      11     6    +      3.33
   416 H Farmington, MN         10-15      -5    -7    +      2.61
   418 A Lakeville South         3-19     -16   -22           0.00
   422 N Rochester Mayo         10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.60
   423 H Owatonna                1-11     -10    -5    --    -4.93
   428 A Shattuck-St. Mary's, M 14-17  o   -3    -3           0.25
   430 A Northfield             12- 8       4     5          -1.77
   509 H Champlin Park           9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.78
   512 A Visitation-St. Paul     8-17      -9    -8          -0.85
   515 A Rochester Mayo         14- 2      12     6    +      3.81
   518 H Northfield             11- 7       4     8    --    -4.59
   521 H Marshall-Lourdes       11- 3       8     8          -0.08
   526 A Owatonna                6-13      -7    -7           0.89


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 N Rochester Mayo         10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.60
   423 H Owatonna                1-11     -10    -5    --    -4.93
   518 H Northfield             11- 7       4     8    --    -4.59


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Champlin Park           9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.78
   409 N Marshall-Lourdes       14- 3      11     6    +      3.33
   416 H Farmington, MN         10-15      -5    -7    +      2.61
   515 A Rochester Mayo         14- 2      12     6    +      3.81




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.78 Local Power Rank...........    44
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.53 Local SOS Rank.............    37
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    39
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    57
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    42
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7


  
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