Conf =  A                         Region = NY B  Sec 1            
   Nickname = Y Bears                Coach  =   Gerry Walsh           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating = 88.552765

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Carmel, NY             NY A  Sec 1   ( 7-10, 78.9)    17-10   
 330 A Somers, NY             NY B  Sec 1   (19- 3, 95.8)     1-12   
 401 H Horace Greeley         NY B  Sec 1   ( 6-11, 83.2)    11-16   
 406 H Putnam Valley          NY C  Sec 1   ( 6-10, 81.2)    14-12   
 409 H Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   (17- 2, 99.9)     8-18   
 411 A Fox Lane               NY A  Sec 1   ( 8-10, 88.3)    10-15   
 414 H John Jay-Cross River   NY B  Sec 1   (11- 6, 93.9)     8-16   
 418 H Lakeland-Panas         NY A  Sec 1   (14- 4, 92.2)     8-19   
 420 A Mahopac                NY A  Sec 1   (15- 5, 93.9)     4-13   
 424 H Fox Lane               NY A  Sec 1   ( 8-10, 88.3)    13-12   
 428 A Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   (17- 2, 99.9)     6-16   
 430 A John Jay-Cross River   NY B  Sec 1   (11- 6, 93.9)    10-14   
 502 N Niskayuna              NY B  Sec 2   (17- 1, 99.9)     5-17   
 506 A Horace Greeley         NY B  Sec 1   ( 6-11, 83.2)    10-14   
 508 H Somers, NY             NY B  Sec 1   (19- 3, 95.8)    12-14   
 509 H Red Hook               NY C  Sec 9   (15- 3, 92.4)    16- 7   
 514 A Byram Hills            NY B  Sec 1   ( 9- 6, 85.0)   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Carmel, NY             17-10       7     1    ++     5.09
   330 A Somers, NY              1-12     -11   -14           0.00
   401 H Horace Greeley         11-16      -5     0    --    -4.65
   406 H Putnam Valley          14-12       2     1           0.32
   409 H Yorktown, NY            8-18     -10   -17           0.00
   411 A Fox Lane               10-15      -5    -7    +      2.49
   414 H John Jay-Cross River    8-16      -8   -11    +      2.00
   418 H Lakeland-Panas          8-19     -11    -9          -0.69
   420 A Mahopac                 4-13      -9   -13           1.00
   424 H Fox Lane               13-12       1    -5    +++    6.41
   428 A Yorktown, NY            6-16     -10   -19           0.00
   430 A John Jay-Cross River   10-14      -4   -13    +++    6.00
   502 N Niskayuna               5-17     -12   -18          n/a  
   506 A Horace Greeley         10-14      -4    -2          -1.57
   508 H Somers, NY             12-14      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   509 H Red Hook               16- 7       9    -9          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Horace Greeley         11-16      -5     0    --    -4.65

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Fox Lane               13-12       1    -5    +++    6.41
   430 A John Jay-Cross River   10-14      -4   -13    +++    6.00
   508 H Somers, NY             12-14      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   509 H Red Hook               16- 7       9    -9    +++        
   324 A Carmel, NY             17-10       7     1    ++     5.09
   411 A Fox Lane               10-15      -5    -7    +      2.49
   414 H John Jay-Cross River    8-16      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.81 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.38 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.0 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/