Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Warriors             Coach  =   Colleen Williams      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.4863892    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   (13- 5, 91.4)    11- 9   
 403 H Hilton                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 85.7)    13-12 2o
 405 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (14- 4, 99.9)    10-12   
 408 H Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (16- 3, 99.9)    10-19   
 410 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (19- 3, 99.3)     8-17   
 417 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 6-11, 86.9)    16- 4   
 423 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 95.0)     5-11   
 425 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (14- 6, 96.5)     5-14   
 428 H Our Lady of Mercy, NY  NY A  Sec 5   (11- 7, 89.0)     7- 8   
 501 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 81.8)    11- 6   
 503 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 87.1)    12-11   
 505 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (16- 5, 94.5)     7-10   
 507 H Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 83.5)    13- 7   
 510 A Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 94.4)     6-14   
 513 A Spencerport            NY B  Sec 5   (10- 7, 85.8)     9- 5   
 515 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 99.1)     5-11   
 520 A Our Lady of Mercy, NY  NY A  Sec 5   (11- 7, 89.0)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Churchville-Chili      11- 9       2    -3    ++     5.23
   403 H Hilton                 13-12 2o    1     2          -1.56
   405 H Lancaster, NY          10-12      -2   -11          n/a  
   408 H Brighton, NY           10-19      -9   -11           1.00
   410 A Victor                  8-17      -9   -13           1.00
   417 H Ithaca                 16- 4      12     0          n/a  
   423 H Irondequoit             5-11      -6    -6           0.76
   425 H Pittsford               5-14      -9    -8          -0.71
   428 H Our Lady of Mercy, NY   7- 8      -1     0          -0.27
   501 A Fairport               11- 6       5     4           1.00
   503 H Rush-Henrietta         12-11       1     1          -0.07
   505 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.74
   507 H Canandaigua Academy    13- 7       6     4           1.27
   510 A Webster Thomas          6-14      -8    -8           0.57
   513 A Spencerport             9- 5       4     0    +      3.98
   515 H Penfield                5-11      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   520 A Our Lady of Mercy, NY  11-12      -1    -3    +      2.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Lancaster, NY          10-12      -2   -11    +++        
   417 H Ithaca                 16- 4      12     0    +++        
   327 H Churchville-Chili      11- 9       2    -3    ++     5.23
   505 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.74
   515 H Penfield                5-11      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   513 A Spencerport             9- 5       4     0    +      3.98
   520 A Our Lady of Mercy, NY  11-12      -1    -3    +      2.15
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.01 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.14 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/