Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   David Yelle           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.7243271    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H Amherst-Pelham         MA    C/W D1  ( 4-13, 63.5)    15- 2   
 408 A West Springfield, MA   MA    C/W D1  ( 7-12, 71.3)    15- 3   
 411 A Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (12- 8, 79.5)    16- 4   
 412 A Belchertown            MA    C/W D2  ( 8-11, 70.4)    12- 0   
 414 H South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 9- 9, 75.8)    16- 6   
 417 A Shrewsbury             MA    C/W D1  (15- 7, 85.2)    12- 9   
 421 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    C/W D1  ( 8-10, 72.5)    19- 5   
 425 H West Springfield, MA   MA    C/W D1  ( 7-12, 71.3)    18- 6   
 428 H Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (23- 2, 96.9)     4-14   
 501 H Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (12- 8, 79.5)    18- 8   
 503 A Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (23- 2, 96.9)     2-15   
 505 A South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 9- 9, 75.8)    14- 6   
 509 H Deerfield Academy, MA  NE            ( 4-13, 80.2)    11-10   
 510 A Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (13- 7, 84.6)    14- 4   
 513 H East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 82.5)    12- 7   
 515 A Tantasqua              MA    C/W D1  ( 9- 9, 72.9)    16- 2   
 516 A Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (13- 4, 81.7)    19- 9   
 519 H Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (13- 4, 81.7)    15- 3   
 603 H Shrewsbury             MA    C/W D1  (15- 7, 85.2)    17- 4   
 607 N Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (23- 2, 96.9)     4-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Amherst-Pelham         15- 2      13    27           0.00
   408 A West Springfield, MA   15- 3      12    18           0.00
   411 A Agawam                 16- 4      12     9           0.16
   412 A Belchertown            12- 0      12    18           0.00
   414 H South Hadley           16- 6      10    14           0.00
   417 A Shrewsbury             12- 9       3     4          -1.07
   421 A Westfield HS, MA       19- 5      14    16           0.00
   425 H West Springfield, MA   18- 6      12    19           0.00
   428 H Longmeadow              4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.56
   501 H Agawam                 18- 8      10    10           0.00
   503 A Longmeadow              2-15     -13    -7    -     -2.40
   505 A South Hadley           14- 6       8    13    -     -2.00
   509 H Deerfield Academy, MA  11-10       1    10          n/a  
   510 A Algonquin              14- 4      10     4    ++     5.25
   513 H East Longmeadow        12- 7       5     8    -     -3.01
   515 A Tantasqua              16- 2      14    16           0.00
   516 A Northampton, MA        19- 9      10     7    +      2.42
   519 H Northampton, MA        15- 3      12     8           1.26
   603 H Shrewsbury             17- 4      13     5    ++     4.77
   607 N Longmeadow              4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.98

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Deerfield Academy, MA  11-10       1    10    ---        
   428 H Longmeadow              4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.56
   503 A Longmeadow              2-15     -13    -7    -     -2.40
   505 A South Hadley           14- 6       8    13    -     -2.00
   513 H East Longmeadow        12- 7       5     8    -     -3.01
   607 N Longmeadow              4-15     -11    -7    -     -2.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Algonquin              14- 4      10     4    ++     5.25
   603 H Shrewsbury             17- 4      13     5    ++     4.77
   516 A Northampton, MA        19- 9      10     7    +      2.42
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.89 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.99 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   109
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/