Mercer Island                 4 - 6


 
                                     Region = WA    Alki             
   Nickname = A Islanders            Coach  =   Liz Shields           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   90.7161636    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 318 H Issaquah               WA    Snoq    (11- 2, 99.8)     4-15   
 321 A Eastside Catholic, WA  WA    Snoq    ( 9- 4, 95.2)     7-11   
 328 A Lake Sammamish         WA    Snoq    (14- 3, 99.9)     4-14   
 329 H Oregon Episcopal       OR    PL      (15- 3, 90.7)    17-15   
 401 H Bellevue               WA    Snoq    ( 3- 8, 79.2)    15- 2   
 403 A Seattle Prep School    WA    Alki    ( 6- 5, 86.2)     7- 8   
 415 H Holy Names Acad, WA    WA    Alki    ( 7- 4, 84.5)    19-10   
 417 A SW Club                WA    Alki    ( 2-10, 66.5)    17- 6   
 424 A Snohomish              WA    No S    (10- 3, 94.2)     8-12   
 428 H Lakeside School        WA    No S    ( 6- 4, 90.6)    13-13   
 507 H Bainbridge Island      WA    Alki    ( 8- 2, 96.8)     8-19   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Issaquah                4-15     -11   -12           0.00
   321 A Eastside Catholic, WA   7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.52
   328 A Lake Sammamish          4-14     -10   -14           0.00
   329 H Oregon Episcopal       17-15       2    -3          n/a  
   401 H Bellevue               15- 2      13     8           1.85
   403 A Seattle Prep School     7- 8      -1     0          -0.50
   415 H Holy Names Acad, WA    19-10       9     2    +++    6.22
   417 A SW Club                17- 6      11    19           0.00
   424 A Snohomish               8-12      -4    -8    ++     4.50
   428 H Lakeside School        13-13       0    -3    +      3.28
   507 H Bainbridge Island       8-19     -11    -9          -0.54


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Holy Names Acad, WA    19-10       9     2    +++    6.22
   321 A Eastside Catholic, WA   7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.52
   329 H Oregon Episcopal       17-15       2    -3    ++         
   424 A Snohomish               8-12      -4    -8    ++     4.50
   428 H Lakeside School        13-13       0    -3    +      3.28




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.49 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.16 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0


  
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