Region = MD    IAAM A           
   Nickname = D Sailors              Coach  =   Mary Gagnon           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.5420303    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 H St. Mary's, MD         MD    IAAM A  ( 5-11, 81.0)    14-16   
 324 A Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD    IAAM A  (10- 5, 90.7)     8-11   
 326 A McDonogh School        MD    IAAM A  (21- 0, 99.9)     6-14   
 328 H Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  (16- 5, 91.8)    11-12   
 329 N Century, MD            MD    3A-2A   (12- 5, 93.3)     8-14   
 329 A Marriotts Ridge        MD    3A-2A   (17- 2, 99.9)     6-16   
 331 A St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  ( 7- 7, 87.2)     7- 8  o
 402 H Bryn Mawr SG           MD    IAAM A  ( 8- 8, 87.7)    11-12   
 404 A Archbishop Spalding    MD    IAAM A  (15- 6, 90.8)    13-15   
 407 A South River            MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 7, 90.5)    12-11  o
 409 H Garrison Forest        MD    IAAM A  ( 3-11, 80.5)    14- 8   
 412 H North Carroll          MD    2A-1A   ( 6- 8, 79.6)    16- 9   
 412 H River Hill             MD    3A-2A   (11- 5, 88.2)    11-10   
 416 A Maryvale Prep          MD    IAAM A  ( 1-14, 77.4)    16- 9   
 421 H Severn School          MD    IAAM A  (14- 5, 92.2)    14-15 2o
 423 A John Carroll, MD       MD    IAAM A  (10- 9, 86.1)     9- 8  o
 502 A St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  ( 7- 7, 87.2)    12-11   
 505 A Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD    IAAM A  (10- 5, 90.7)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H St. Mary's, MD         14-16      -2     5    ---   -7.11
   324 A Notre Dame Prep, MD     8-11      -3    -5    +      2.53
   326 A McDonogh School         6-14      -8   -14    +      2.00
   328 H Roland Park Country    11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.65
   329 N Century, MD             8-14      -6    -7          n/a  
   329 A Marriotts Ridge         6-16     -10   -14          n/a  
   331 A St. Paul's SG, MD       7- 8  o   -1    -2           1.01
   402 H Bryn Mawr SG           11-12      -1    -1           0.55
   404 A Archbishop Spalding    13-15      -2    -5    +      3.62
   407 A South River            12-11  o    1    -5          n/a  
   409 H Garrison Forest        14- 8       6     5           0.36
   412 H North Carroll          16- 9       7     6          n/a  
   412 H River Hill             11-10       1    -2          n/a  
   416 A Maryvale Prep          16- 9       7     7          -0.84
   421 H Severn School          14-15 2o   -1    -6    ++     5.13
   423 A John Carroll, MD        9- 8  o    1     0           1.91
   502 A St. Paul's SG, MD      12-11       1    -2    +      3.01
   505 A Notre Dame Prep, MD     7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H St. Mary's, MD         14-16      -2     5    ---   -7.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A South River            12-11  o    1    -5    +++        
   328 H Roland Park Country    11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.65
   421 H Severn School          14-15 2o   -1    -6    ++     5.13
   324 A Notre Dame Prep, MD     8-11      -3    -5    +      2.53
   326 A McDonogh School         6-14      -8   -14    +      2.00
   404 A Archbishop Spalding    13-15      -2    -5    +      3.62
   412 H River Hill             11-10       1    -2    +          
   502 A St. Paul's SG, MD      12-11       1    -2    +      3.01
   505 A Notre Dame Prep, MD     7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.53
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.66 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.54 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/