Region = VA 1A North            
   Nickname = A Black Panthers       Coach  =   Melanie Johnson       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   73.1364136    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Potomac HS             VA 1A North   ( 2- 8, 59.8)    16- 3   
 331 A George Mason           VA 1A North   ( 6- 4, 80.3)     7-21   
 403 H Riverbend              VA 6A South   ( 8- 5, 72.3)     7-10   
 405 H Osbourn HS             VA 6A North   ( 5-10, 63.4)    16- 6   
 405 N Wakefield HS, VA       VA 1A North   ( 4-10, 65.2)     5-10   
 411 H Mountain View, VA      VA 1A North   (11- 4, 74.9)     4-17   
 414 A Courtland Club         VA Cb Indep   ( 0- 7, 51.5)    16- 3   
 417 H North Stafford         VA 1A North   ( 1- 7, 60.2)    15- 7   
 428 H Stafford               VA 6A South   ( 5- 9, 65.9)    13-11  o
 501 A Colonial Forge         VA 6A South   (11- 3, 77.7)    10-15   
 502 A Freedom, Prince Willia VA 1A North   ( 0- 9, 54.4)    21- 4   
 505 A Brooke Point           VA 1A North   ( 0-10, 55.3)     9- 5   
 508 A Riverbend              VA 6A South   ( 8- 5, 72.3)     9-10  o
 515 H Courtland Club         VA Cb Indep   ( 0- 7, 51.5)    12- 2   
 519 H Brooke Point           VA 1A North   ( 0-10, 55.3)    14- 3   
 521 A Mountain View, VA      VA 1A North   (11- 4, 74.9)     9-11  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Potomac HS             16- 3      13     9           0.89
   331 A George Mason            7-21     -14   -11           0.00
   403 H Riverbend               7-10      -3    -1          -1.42
   405 H Osbourn HS             16- 6      10     7    +      2.70
   405 N Wakefield HS, VA        5-10      -5     4    ---   -9.64
   411 H Mountain View, VA       4-17     -13    -4    --    -5.79
   414 A Courtland Club         16- 3      13    17           0.00
   417 H North Stafford         15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00
   428 H Stafford               13-11  o    2     4    -     -2.78
   501 A Colonial Forge         10-15      -5    -8    +      3.75
   502 A Freedom, Prince Willia 21- 4      17    14           0.00
   505 A Brooke Point            9- 5       4    13    ---   -6.00
   508 A Riverbend               9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.37
   515 H Courtland Club         12- 2      10    19           0.00
   519 H Brooke Point           14- 3      11    15           0.00
   521 A Mountain View, VA       9-11  o   -2    -6    ++     4.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 N Wakefield HS, VA        5-10      -5     4    ---   -9.64
   505 A Brooke Point            9- 5       4    13    ---   -6.00
   411 H Mountain View, VA       4-17     -13    -4    --    -5.79
   417 H North Stafford         15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00
   428 H Stafford               13-11  o    2     4    -     -2.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 A Mountain View, VA       9-11  o   -2    -6    ++     4.01
   405 H Osbourn HS             16- 6      10     7    +      2.70
   501 A Colonial Forge         10-15      -5    -8    +      3.75
   508 A Riverbend               9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.83 Local Power Rank...........    83
 Local SOS Rating......... 34.99 Local SOS Rank.............   128
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    93
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    73
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    78
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
/