Region = PA    Indep            
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   James Miller          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.1910095    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Harrisburg CS          PA    Indep   ( 1- 9, 54.0)    17- 0   
 322 A State College Area     PA    Mid PA  (15- 5, 89.0)     9-16   
 324 A Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid PA  (12- 6, 81.9)     6-10   
 327 A Northern York          PA    Mid PA  ( 4-15, 64.0)    12- 8   
 404 A Lewisburg Area         PA    C Sqhna ( 8-10, 66.8)    14- 4   
 405 A Palmyra Area, PA       PA    Mid PA  ( 5-11, 72.0)     9- 8   
 408 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid PA  ( 9- 7, 76.0)    10-12   
 409 H Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid PA  (10- 8, 70.6)    14- 5   
 412 H Berks Catholic         PA    Berks   ( 6-12, 77.9)    13-12  o
 414 H Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid PA  (12- 6, 81.9)    14-13  o
 416 H Carlisle Area          PA    Mid PA  ( 9- 7, 77.5)    16- 9   
 417 A Conestoga Valley       PA    LLL     ( 3-15, 68.8)    14-13   
 422 A Hershey                PA    Mid PA  (15- 5, 86.3)    16-17   
 426 A Chambersburg Area      PA    Mid PA  ( 2-15, 61.2)    18- 8   
 501 H Hershey                PA    Mid PA  (15- 5, 86.3)     7-17   
 506 A Harrisburg CS          PA    Indep   ( 1- 9, 54.0)    16- 3   
 507 A Carlisle Area          PA    Mid PA  ( 9- 7, 77.5)    18-11   
 513 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid PA  (19- 4, 93.6)     9-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Harrisburg CS          17- 0      17    25           0.00
   322 A State College Area      9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00
   324 A Lower Dauphin           6-10      -4    -3          -0.71
   327 A Northern York          12- 8       4    14    ---   -6.00
   404 A Lewisburg Area         14- 4      10    11           0.00
   405 A Palmyra Area, PA        9- 8       1     6    --    -5.64
   408 H Central Dauphin        10-12      -2     3    --    -5.79
   409 H Central Dauphin East   14- 5       9     9          -0.19
   412 H Berks Catholic         13-12  o    1     1          -0.87
   414 H Lower Dauphin          14-13  o    1    -2    +      3.16
   416 H Carlisle Area          16- 9       7     2    ++     4.75
   417 A Conestoga Valley       14-13       1     9    ---   -8.79
   422 A Hershey                16-17      -1    -7    +++    6.66
   426 A Chambersburg Area      18- 8      10    17           0.00
   501 H Hershey                 7-17     -10    -6    -     -3.46
   506 A Harrisburg CS          16- 3      13    24           0.00
   507 A Carlisle Area          18-11       7     1    ++     5.88
   513 A Cumberland Valley       9-20     -11   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Northern York          12- 8       4    14    ---   -6.00
   417 A Conestoga Valley       14-13       1     9    ---   -8.79
   405 A Palmyra Area, PA        9- 8       1     6    --    -5.64
   408 H Central Dauphin        10-12      -2     3    --    -5.79
   501 H Hershey                 7-17     -10    -6    -     -3.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Hershey                16-17      -1    -7    +++    6.66
   416 H Carlisle Area          16- 9       7     2    ++     4.75
   507 A Carlisle Area          18-11       7     1    ++     5.88
   322 A State College Area      9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00
   414 H Lower Dauphin          14-13  o    1    -2    +      3.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.19 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.75 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    27
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/