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Region = PA Indep Nickname = A Bears Coach = James MillerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.1910095 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Harrisburg CS PA Indep ( 1- 9, 54.0) 17- 0 322 A State College Area PA Mid PA (15- 5, 89.0) 9-16 324 A Lower Dauphin PA Mid PA (12- 6, 81.9) 6-10 327 A Northern York PA Mid PA ( 4-15, 64.0) 12- 8 404 A Lewisburg Area PA C Sqhna ( 8-10, 66.8) 14- 4 405 A Palmyra Area, PA PA Mid PA ( 5-11, 72.0) 9- 8 408 H Central Dauphin PA Mid PA ( 9- 7, 76.0) 10-12 409 H Central Dauphin East PA Mid PA (10- 8, 70.6) 14- 5 412 H Berks Catholic PA Berks ( 6-12, 77.9) 13-12 o 414 H Lower Dauphin PA Mid PA (12- 6, 81.9) 14-13 o 416 H Carlisle Area PA Mid PA ( 9- 7, 77.5) 16- 9 417 A Conestoga Valley PA LLL ( 3-15, 68.8) 14-13 422 A Hershey PA Mid PA (15- 5, 86.3) 16-17 426 A Chambersburg Area PA Mid PA ( 2-15, 61.2) 18- 8 501 H Hershey PA Mid PA (15- 5, 86.3) 7-17 506 A Harrisburg CS PA Indep ( 1- 9, 54.0) 16- 3 507 A Carlisle Area PA Mid PA ( 9- 7, 77.5) 18-11 513 A Cumberland Valley PA Mid PA (19- 4, 93.6) 9-20PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Harrisburg CS 17- 0 17 25 0.00 322 A State College Area 9-16 -7 -10 + 3.00 324 A Lower Dauphin 6-10 -4 -3 -0.71 327 A Northern York 12- 8 4 14 --- -6.00 404 A Lewisburg Area 14- 4 10 11 0.00 405 A Palmyra Area, PA 9- 8 1 6 -- -5.64 408 H Central Dauphin 10-12 -2 3 -- -5.79 409 H Central Dauphin East 14- 5 9 9 -0.19 412 H Berks Catholic 13-12 o 1 1 -0.87 414 H Lower Dauphin 14-13 o 1 -2 + 3.16 416 H Carlisle Area 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.75 417 A Conestoga Valley 14-13 1 9 --- -8.79 422 A Hershey 16-17 -1 -7 +++ 6.66 426 A Chambersburg Area 18- 8 10 17 0.00 501 H Hershey 7-17 -10 -6 - -3.46 506 A Harrisburg CS 16- 3 13 24 0.00 507 A Carlisle Area 18-11 7 1 ++ 5.88 513 A Cumberland Valley 9-20 -11 -14 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A Northern York 12- 8 4 14 --- -6.00 417 A Conestoga Valley 14-13 1 9 --- -8.79 405 A Palmyra Area, PA 9- 8 1 6 -- -5.64 408 H Central Dauphin 10-12 -2 3 -- -5.79 501 H Hershey 7-17 -10 -6 - -3.46OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Hershey 16-17 -1 -7 +++ 6.66 416 H Carlisle Area 16- 9 7 2 ++ 4.75 507 A Carlisle Area 18-11 7 1 ++ 5.88 322 A State College Area 9-16 -7 -10 + 3.00 414 H Lower Dauphin 14-13 o 1 -2 + 3.16/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 79.19 Local Power Rank........... 20 Local SOS Rating......... 49.75 Local SOS Rank............. 33 Local RPI Rating......... 0.54 Local RPI Rank............. 20 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 27 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 19 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -11.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.0