Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Devils           Coach  =   Doug Kohler           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.3865662    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 78.3)    15- 3   
 408 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 89.9)    10- 9   
 410 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3- 8, 76.4)    21- 6   
 422 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (14- 4, 99.9)     6-14   
 424 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 3, 99.3)     7-17   
 425 H McDowell               PA    D10     (11- 9, 79.4)    15- 8   
 426 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 87.5)    11- 8   
 429 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (12- 7, 96.8)     2-16   
 501 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (14- 4, 99.9)     9-16   
 503 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 3, 99.3)     5-13   
 506 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 87.5)    15-13   
 508 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (12- 7, 96.8)    12-11   
 513 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 89.9)     8-10   
 515 A Nichols School         NY    Private (11- 6, 89.7)    15- 9   
 516 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (15- 3, 96.7)     9-12   
 520 H Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 78.3)    19- 9   
 522 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (12- 3, 99.3)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Niagara Falls          15- 3      12    13           0.00
   408 A Orchard Park           10- 9       1     0           0.70
   410 A Lockport               21- 6      15    13           0.00
   422 H Lancaster, NY           6-14      -8    -8           0.28
   424 A Frontier                7-17     -10    -9          -0.91
   425 H McDowell               15- 8       7    12          n/a  
   426 A West Seneca East       11- 8       3     2           0.22
   429 H Hamburg                 2-16     -14    -5    --    -4.78
   501 A Lancaster, NY           9-16      -7    -9    +      2.66
   503 H Frontier                5-13      -8    -7          -0.28
   506 H West Seneca East       15-13       2     4    -     -2.15
   508 A Hamburg                12-11       1    -6    +++    7.59
   513 H Orchard Park            8-10      -2     1    -     -3.67
   515 A Nichols School         15- 9       6     0    ++     5.48
   516 H Williamsville North     9-12      -3    -5    +      2.11
   520 H Niagara Falls          19- 9      10    13           0.00
   522 A Frontier                8- 9      -1    -9    +++    8.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Hamburg                 2-16     -14    -5    --    -4.78
   425 H McDowell               15- 8       7    12    -          
   506 H West Seneca East       15-13       2     4    -     -2.15
   513 H Orchard Park            8-10      -2     1    -     -3.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Hamburg                12-11       1    -6    +++    7.59
   522 A Frontier                8- 9      -1    -9    +++    8.09
   515 A Nichols School         15- 9       6     0    ++     5.48
   501 A Lancaster, NY           9-16      -7    -9    +      2.66
   516 H Williamsville North     9-12      -3    -5    +      2.11
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.93 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.97 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/