Region = CT    Class S          
   Nickname = T Warriors             Coach  =   Dee Stephan           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.2967072    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 A Housatonic Regional    CT    Class S (12- 5, 75.0)     8-12   
 411 A Granby Memorial, CT    CT    Class S (16- 5, 84.7)     6-16   
 422 A Ellington              CT    Class S ( 7-10, 72.9)     9-13   
 424 A Sheehan                CT    Indep   ( 7-10, 71.7)    11- 9   
 425 A Suffield HS            CT    Class S ( 3-11, 69.9)    10- 6   
 428 H Windsor, CT            CT    Class M ( 2-13, 64.7)    19-12   
 429 H Granby Memorial, CT    CT    Class S (16- 5, 84.7)     4-10   
 501 A Avon                   CT    Class M (17- 3, 90.2)     4-17   
 505 H Somers, CT             CT    Class S (10- 7, 80.4)     3- 5   
 509 A Somers, CT             CT    Class S (10- 7, 80.4)    16-17   
 510 H Rocky Hill HS          CT    Class S ( 2-14, 63.8)    13- 2   
 513 H North Branford         CT    Class S ( 5-11, 69.0)    12- 6   
 515 H Ellington              CT    Class S ( 7-10, 72.9)     9-11   
 519 A St. Bernard, CT        CT    Class S ( 9- 8, 68.8)    15- 9   
 521 H Avon                   CT    Class M (17- 3, 90.2)    11-14   
 522 H Suffield HS            CT    Class S ( 3-11, 69.9)     9- 4   
 531 A Ellington              CT    Class S ( 7-10, 72.9)    13- 8   
 603 A Old Saybrook           CT    Class S (17- 1, 86.2)     9-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Housatonic Regional     8-12      -4     0    -     -3.29
   411 A Granby Memorial, CT     6-16     -10   -10           0.00
   422 A Ellington               9-13      -4     1    --    -5.34
   424 A Sheehan                11- 9       2     2          -0.60
   425 A Suffield HS            10- 6       4     4          -0.35
   428 H Windsor, CT            19-12       7    11    -     -3.00
   429 H Granby Memorial, CT     4-10      -6    -8    +      2.82
   501 A Avon                    4-17     -13   -15           0.00
   505 H Somers, CT              3- 5      -2    -4    +      2.60
   509 A Somers, CT             16-17      -1    -6    ++     5.16
   510 H Rocky Hill HS          13- 2      11    12           0.00
   513 H North Branford         12- 6       6     6          -0.86
   515 H Ellington               9-11      -2     2    --    -4.89
   519 A St. Bernard, CT        15- 9       6     5           0.55
   521 H Avon                   11-14      -3   -14    +++    7.00
   522 H Suffield HS             9- 4       5     5          -0.91
   531 A Ellington              13- 8       5     1    +      3.66
   603 A Old Saybrook            9-16      -7   -11    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Ellington               9-13      -4     1    --    -5.34
   515 H Ellington               9-11      -2     2    --    -4.89
   409 A Housatonic Regional     8-12      -4     0    -     -3.29
   428 H Windsor, CT            19-12       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 H Avon                   11-14      -3   -14    +++    7.00
   509 A Somers, CT             16-17      -1    -6    ++     5.16
   429 H Granby Memorial, CT     4-10      -6    -8    +      2.82
   505 H Somers, CT              3- 5      -2    -4    +      2.60
   531 A Ellington              13- 8       5     1    +      3.66
   603 A Old Saybrook            9-16      -7   -11    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.06 Local Power Rank...........    45
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.48 Local SOS Rank.............    48
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    44
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    56
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
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