Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Brownies             Coach  =   Carla Lemnah-Warner   

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.8843689    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 9- 9, 75.8)    17-14   
 408 H Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (13- 4, 81.7)    15-18   
 411 H Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (17- 3, 89.9)     4-16   
 414 A Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (23- 2, 96.9)     5-17   
 417 H South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 9- 9, 75.8)    18- 9   
 418 H West Springfield, MA   MA    C/W D1  ( 7-12, 71.3)    17- 6   
 421 A Tantasqua              MA    C/W D1  ( 9- 9, 72.9)    12-11   
 422 H Belchertown            MA    C/W D2  ( 8-11, 70.4)    16- 2   
 425 A Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (13- 4, 81.7)     7-14   
 429 A East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 82.5)     8- 9   
 501 A Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (17- 3, 89.9)     8-18   
 505 H Ellington              CT    Class S ( 7-10, 72.9)    18-10   
 506 H Amherst-Pelham         MA    C/W D1  ( 4-13, 63.5)    14- 1   
 509 A West Springfield, MA   MA    C/W D1  ( 7-12, 71.3)    20- 9   
 512 H Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (23- 2, 96.9)     4-19   
 513 A Cathedral, MA          MA    C/W D2  ( 7-12, 63.1)    20- 9   
 519 H Tantasqua              MA    C/W D1  ( 9- 9, 72.9)    12- 8   
 520 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    C/W D1  ( 8-10, 72.5)    21-16   
 528 H Marlborough, MA        MA    C/W D1  (13- 7, 74.9)    16-11   
 530 A Longmeadow             MA    C/W D1  (23- 2, 96.9)     3-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A South Hadley           17-14       3     3          -0.04
   408 H Northampton, MA        15-18      -3    -1          -1.33
   411 H Minnechaug              4-16     -12    -9          -0.16
   414 A Longmeadow              5-17     -12   -18           0.00
   417 H South Hadley           18- 9       9     4    ++     4.80
   418 H West Springfield, MA   17- 6      11     8           1.24
   421 A Tantasqua              12-11       1     5    --    -4.97
   422 H Belchertown            16- 2      14     9           0.37
   425 A Northampton, MA         7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.17
   429 A East Longmeadow         8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.56
   501 A Minnechaug              8-18     -10   -10           0.00
   505 H Ellington              18-10       8     7          n/a  
   506 H Amherst-Pelham         14- 1      13    16           0.00
   509 A West Springfield, MA   20- 9      11     7    +      2.40
   512 H Longmeadow              4-19     -15   -16           0.00
   513 A Cathedral, MA          20- 9      11    15           0.00
   519 H Tantasqua              12- 8       4     7    -     -3.13
   520 A Westfield HS, MA       21-16       5     6          -1.36
   528 H Marlborough, MA        16-11       5     5          -0.19
   530 A Longmeadow              3-19     -16   -18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Tantasqua              12-11       1     5    --    -4.97
   425 A Northampton, MA         7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.17
   519 H Tantasqua              12- 8       4     7    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H South Hadley           18- 9       9     4    ++     4.80
   429 A East Longmeadow         8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.56
   509 A West Springfield, MA   20- 9      11     7    +      2.40
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.47 Local Power Rank...........    56
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.70 Local SOS Rank.............    42
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    50
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/