girls probabilites for 32
2013 girls Massachusetts
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Westwood, MA 22 1 1 4 2 3 2 2 7 36.00
2 Minnechaug 16 3 5 20 9 4 5 9 18 4.00
3 Needham 20 3 4 15 5 6 9 5 20 6.00
4 Notre Dame Acad, 24 2 2 2 1 1 18 1 20 35.00
5 Duxbury 15 6 9 11 10 8 4 15 27 2.00
6 Norwell 18 5 8 18 7 10 8 11 29 1.00
7 Franklin, MA 18 3 7 23 6 11 13 6 30 1.00
8 Hopkinton, MA 13 5 10 6 12 13 7 16 36 1.00
9 Winchester 20 4 15 42 13 14 14 12 40 0.10
10 Algonquin 15 4 13 33 15 15 12 14 41 0.10
11 Westford Academy 23 2 6 12 4 5 34 4 43 1.00
12 Groton-Dunstable 16 4 39 69 21 18 10 25 53 0.10
13 Dartmouth 19 2 31 115 11 21 26 8 55 0.10
14 Lincoln-Sudbury 10 8 14 3 22 23 3 29 55 0.10
15 Acton-Boxborough 13 7 17 9 27 22 6 28 56 0.10
16 Andover, MA 9 9 33 1 41 7 1 49 57 0.10
17 Marblehead 19 3 21 73 16 20 23 17 60 0.10
18 North Andover 18 6 16 29 24 9 41 10 60 0.10
19 Medfield 11 5 23 10 23 24 11 27 62 0.10
20 Agawam 13 4 20 31 14 17 38 13 68 0.10
21 Ipswich 12 4 30 49 37 25 22 32 79 0.10
22 Longmeadow 23 2 3 7 3 2 75 3 80 13.00
23 Framingham 14 5 12 22 18 27 36 18 81 0.10
24 Apponequet 14 4 32 91 34 19 33 31 83 0.10
25 Sandwich 14 2 18 79 19 16 48 22 86 0.10
26 Dover-Sherborn 11 5 25 19 17 32 20 36 88 0.10
27 Shrewsbury 17 5 29 56 29 26 28 37 91 0.10
28 Scituate, MA 13 5 22 45 28 33 30 33 96 0.10
29 Hingham 12 6 28 46 35 45 17 40 102 0.10
30 South Hadley 9 7 44 21 40 43 16 43 102 0.10
31 Wayland 13 3 11 47 30 28 55 24 107 0.10
32 Manchester-Essex 14 3 34 96 31 31 56 21 108 0.10
33 Wellesley HS 12 8 26 16 44 35 19 58 112 0.10
34 Tyngsborough 16 4 58 110 36 29 40 44 113 0.10
35 Cohasset 7 7 42 13 46 37 24 53 114 0.10
36 Masconomet 17 6 24 28 32 12 85 20 117 0.10
37 Foxborough 16 3 19 87 20 34 70 19 123 0.10
38 Reading Memorial 12 5 40 55 42 40 45 42 127 0.10
39 Concord-Carlisle 8 10 35 5 75 30 15 87 132 0.10
40 Ashland 15 8 37 48 49 53 21 59 133 0.10
41 Marshfield 13 5 49 97 38 49 52 41 142 0.10
42 Central Catholic 11 8 48 60 73 47 43 55 145 0.10
43 New Bedford 9 8 83 99 91 48 25 73 146 0.10
44 Barnstable 10 6 78 83 61 44 59 54 157 0.10
45 Belchertown 14 4 54 126 25 56 82 23 161 0.10
46 Bishop Stang 11 4 60 123 45 61 61 39 161 0.10
47 Peabody Veterans 13 5 55 103 54 36 81 46 163 0.10
48 Ursuline Academy 9 10 62 14 78 42 46 76 164 0.10
49 Beverly 9 9 72 77 97 59 31 86 176 0.10
50 Northampton 9 9 77 30 71 73 37 70 180 0.10
51 West Springfield 6 3 67 57 33 50 105 30 185 0.10
52 Newburyport 11 7 43 94 69 63 54 69 186 0.10
53 Tantasqua 10 8 80 85 77 71 42 75 188 0.10
54 Lee, MA 12 3 98 175 26 51 115 26 192 0.10
55 Norwood 9 8 47 43 74 69 50 79 198 0.10
56 Austin Prep, MA 15 5 57 143 50 60 89 50 199 0.10
57 King Philip 8 12 73 24 106 64 27 108 199 0.10
58 Bromfield School 12 8 75 120 82 62 58 83 203 0.10
59 Bourne 12 4 71 133 43 68 102 35 205 0.10
60 Billerica Memori 12 7 45 52 58 46 122 38 206 0.10
61 Walpole 10 6 27 34 57 52 93 63 208 0.10
62 Watertown, MA 17 0 36 168 8 54 147 7 208 0.10
63 Lexington HS 12 6 38 92 64 58 90 61 209 0.10
64 Mt. Greylock Reg 11 5 109 171 48 57 109 48 214 0.10
65 Whitman-Hanson R 12 6 68 105 60 65 84 66 215 0.10
66 Hamilton-Wenham 15 5 50 106 51 39 132 45 216 0.10
67 Chelmsford 7 11 82 38 111 74 53 91 218 0.10
68 Hanover, MA 9 7 74 75 55 78 76 64 218 0.10
69 Newton South 5 11 88 27 88 79 29 112 220 0.10
70 Medway 9 8 64 61 68 86 57 78 221 0.10
71 Lowell, MA 10 10 97 112 107 77 49 96 222 0.10
72 Mansfield 11 9 59 68 79 84 62 77 223 0.10
73 Nashoba Regional 9 9 63 66 94 55 69 99 223 0.10
74 Arlington Cathol 11 8 81 139 84 80 60 85 225 0.10
75 Bishop Fenwick, 12 7 56 90 67 38 128 60 226 0.10
76 Nipmuc 12 7 66 116 70 75 80 71 226 0.10
77 Littleton, MA 15 5 61 129 52 41 141 52 234 0.10
78 Weston, MA 10 8 46 63 72 70 78 90 238 0.10
79 East Longmeadow 9 8 53 36 53 66 130 51 247 0.10
80 Belmont 5 10 89 44 120 81 47 121 249 0.10
81 Nauset Regional 9 9 94 107 87 94 68 88 250 0.10
82 Westborough 4 11 84 37 123 88 39 132 259 0.10
83 Methuen 14 6 90 164 62 90 114 56 260 0.10
84 Bishop Feehan 14 4 51 144 39 92 135 34 261 0.10
85 Archbishop Willi 11 8 76 141 83 82 97 84 263 0.10
86 Westfield HS, MA 8 10 85 101 102 101 65 97 263 0.10
87 Hudson, MA 9 9 93 130 105 87 73 104 264 0.10
88 Canton, MA 7 8 65 50 90 67 126 80 273 0.10
89 Pentucket Region 6 9 95 84 114 89 79 106 274 0.10
90 Braintree 9 9 69 70 85 85 95 95 275 0.10
91 Newton North 7 10 52 32 92 83 74 118 275 0.10
92 Arlington HS, MA 5 12 106 71 142 110 35 133 278 0.10
93 Fairhaven 10 8 102 145 86 106 100 72 278 0.10
94 Pembroke, MA 10 8 87 118 81 103 96 82 281 0.10
95 Danvers 4 12 103 41 150 76 71 138 285 0.10
96 Martha's Vineyar 4 12 105 64 151 104 44 145 293 0.10
97 Pittsfield 6 9 152 160 101 99 94 100 293 0.10
98 Haverhill 10 9 99 140 99 97 108 92 297 0.10
99 Medford, MA 11 4 70 157 47 95 159 47 301 0.10
100 Woburn Memorial 2 12 116 40 155 105 51 152 308 0.10
101 Holliston 2 16 119 17 164 114 32 167 313 0.10
102 Weymouth 9 10 92 89 89 124 88 101 313 0.10
103 Wilmington 4 9 104 86 124 96 106 114 316 0.10
104 Lowell Catholic 11 5 101 170 56 91 165 62 318 0.10
105 Natick 8 10 41 25 95 72 142 105 319 0.10
106 Oakmont Regional 5 11 113 113 139 111 66 142 319 0.10
107 Salem, MA 6 6 130 158 76 100 146 74 320 0.10
108 Hull 9 6 91 149 65 121 134 68 323 0.10
109 Wahconah Regiona 5 9 146 172 119 117 86 120 323 0.10
110 Falmouth HS, MA 2 9 122 93 125 109 98 117 324 0.10
111 Oliver Ames 4 9 115 58 113 113 99 113 325 0.10
112 Amherst-Pelham 1 16 114 8 157 93 83 155 331 0.10
113 Georgetown, MA 4 10 110 78 131 108 104 124 336 0.10
114 North Reading 3 11 135 95 144 118 77 141 336 0.10
115 Shawsheen Valley 7 4 107 169 59 116 166 57 339 0.10
116 Bedford Public, 6 13 100 59 143 115 72 153 340 0.10
117 St. Bernard's, M 12 6 96 162 66 102 174 67 343 0.10
118 Waltham 3 14 126 35 137 120 63 161 344 0.10
119 Melrose 6 8 121 131 100 122 139 93 354 0.10
120 Monson 9 7 86 153 80 133 140 81 354 0.10
121 Plymouth North, 2 13 129 76 165 126 67 163 356 0.10
122 Bridgewater-Rayn 6 9 112 122 110 112 144 107 363 0.10
123 Gr. New Bedford 0 12 160 53 162 107 112 148 367 0.10
124 North Attleboro 3 11 128 74 134 132 110 131 373 0.10
125 Quincy 5 9 120 125 108 145 118 110 373 0.10
126 Wakefield Memori 5 11 127 109 140 130 107 137 374 0.10
127 Nantucket HS 5 10 123 127 116 125 143 111 379 0.10
128 Swampscott 3 17 151 98 175 141 64 174 379 0.10
129 Sharon, MA 2 7 134 82 93 136 156 89 381 0.10
130 Old Rochester 0 11 149 39 145 119 120 144 383 0.10
131 Wachusett 2 14 137 54 168 127 87 169 383 0.10
132 Lynnfield 7 11 111 135 133 134 124 130 388 0.10
133 Milton, MA 0 10 132 26 128 142 119 134 395 0.10
134 St. Mary's, Lynn 6 12 153 156 148 143 103 151 397 0.10
135 Cape Cod Acad, M 6 9 118 154 98 147 153 98 398 0.10
136 Marian, MA 4 9 147 147 122 128 152 123 403 0.10
137 North Shore-Esse 3 7 155 165 96 148 161 94 403 0.10
138 Tewksbury Memori 5 12 136 128 149 129 131 143 403 0.10
139 Grafton Memorial 10 9 79 151 104 131 171 103 405 0.10
140 Plymouth South, 4 12 124 119 154 138 117 150 405 0.10
141 Holyoke Catholic 2 9 144 104 126 144 137 125 406 0.10
142 North Middlesex 5 12 108 67 141 98 162 146 406 0.10
143 Triton Regional, 2 12 133 80 160 137 113 157 407 0.10
144 Matignon 0 15 171 81 172 135 101 172 408 0.10
145 St. Mary's, West 1 0 8 161 72 117 157 136 116 409 0.10
146 Hoosac Valley, M 1 11 162 167 147 146 116 149 411 0.10
147 Chicopee Comp 2 13 167 148 166 156 91 165 412 0.10
148 Sturgis West Cha 0 4 174 137 63 175 172 65 412 0.10
149 Nashoba Valley T 3 8 170 161 109 150 154 109 413 0.10
150 Gloucester, MA 5 8 139 163 103 149 164 102 415 0.10
151 Leominster 7 10 125 142 127 123 167 126 416 0.10
152 Milford, MA 2 15 145 88 170 159 92 170 421 0.10
153 Brookline 2 13 138 51 153 139 123 162 424 0.10
154 St. Peter-Marian 2 13 164 132 167 152 111 166 429 0.10
155 Winthrop Club 7 10 141 173 129 153 150 127 430 0.10
156 Dedham 3 10 117 65 115 140 170 128 438 0.10
157 Silver Lake 4 13 143 134 156 164 125 159 448 0.10
158 Coyle-Cassidy 0 10 166 102 138 161 149 140 450 0.10
159 Malden 1 8 169 146 112 166 169 115 450 0.10
160 Greater Lowell T 1 10 165 150 136 154 158 139 451 0.10
161 Cambridge R-L 4 9 150 166 121 158 173 122 453 0.10
162 Cathedral, MA 1 13 158 100 161 165 133 160 458 0.10
163 Mashpee 6 12 131 136 132 160 163 135 458 0.10
164 North Quincy 1 14 157 117 169 169 121 168 458 0.10
165 Dracut 0 15 163 121 171 162 127 171 460 0.10
166 Sturgis East Cha 0 9 173 138 118 173 168 119 460 0.10
167 Burlington, MA 2 12 142 108 158 151 157 156 464 0.10
168 Fontbonne Academ 1 11 148 114 146 163 155 147 465 0.10
169 Doherty-Worceste 3 13 154 155 163 168 138 164 470 0.10
170 Marlborough, MA 2 16 140 111 173 155 145 173 473 0.10
171 Abington, MA 0 17 168 124 174 171 129 175 475 0.10
172 Northbridge 2 12 159 152 159 170 148 158 476 0.10
173 North Central Ch 0 9 176 174 130 176 176 129 481 0.10
174 Revere Club, MA 2 10 172 176 135 174 175 136 485 0.10
175 Pope John XXIII, 0 11 175 159 152 172 160 154 486 0.10
176 Bellingham 0 19 156 62 176 167 151 176 494 0.10
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