Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Pete Friedman         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.6987000    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H Bellport               NY B  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 71.8)    16- 8   
 325 H Rocky Point            NY B  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 87.5)     3-12   
 327 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 92.7)     5-16   
 402 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 78.2)    15-13   
 404 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 92.1)     7-17   
 410 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 84.7)     6- 9   
 413 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 93.3)     4-24   
 416 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (14- 5, 92.3)    12-19   
 418 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 6, 85.3)     7-14   
 422 H Copiague               NY B  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 58.1)    19- 1   
 424 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 90.1)    11-21   
 426 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 78.4)    13-12   
 430 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 85.1)     7-16   
 503 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 81.8)    10-11   
 509 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (18- 2, 98.0)     4-19   
 513 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-13, 69.4)    20-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Bellport               16- 8       8     6           1.91
   325 H Rocky Point             3-12      -9    -9           0.66
   327 A East Islip              5-16     -11   -15           0.00
   402 H North Babylon          15-13       2     0    +      2.29
   404 H West Islip              7-17     -10   -14           0.00
   410 H Lindenhurst             6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.83
   413 A Northport               4-24     -20   -16           0.00
   416 H Ward Melville          12-19      -7   -14    +      3.00
   418 A Smithtown East          7-14      -7    -8           1.45
   422 H Copiague               19- 1      18    19           0.00
   424 A West Babylon           11-21     -10   -13           0.00
   426 H Commack                13-12       1     0           1.48
   430 A Sachem East             7-16      -9    -8          -0.76
   503 H Walt Whitman, NY       10-11      -1    -3    +      2.91
   509 A Bay Shore               4-19     -15   -21           0.00
   513 A Riverhead              20-10      10     7    +      2.56

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H North Babylon          15-13       2     0    +      2.29
   410 H Lindenhurst             6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.83
   416 H Ward Melville          12-19      -7   -14    +      3.00
   503 H Walt Whitman, NY       10-11      -1    -3    +      2.91
   513 A Riverhead              20-10      10     7    +      2.56
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.39 Local Power Rank...........    34
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.79 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    45
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -17.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/