Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Jennifer Courtney     

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7098083    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (12- 7, 90.4)     5-10   
 415 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 9- 6, 81.2)    15- 2   
 416 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-13, 79.6)     9- 7   
 418 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 8, 89.1)     2-11   
 419 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-14, 71.2)     5- 2   
 425 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.9)     3-16   
 426 A Iroquois               NY C  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 82.7)     6- 7   
 427 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 8, 79.9)    11- 4   
 429 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 85.4)     8- 7 4o
 430 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (12- 7, 90.4)     7-20   
 502 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-14, 71.2)    15- 6   
 504 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 8, 85.4)     4- 8   
 507 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-13, 79.6)    10- 9   
 509 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 8, 89.1)     6- 9   
 513 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.9)     5-17   
 522 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 2, 99.9)     3-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H West Seneca East        5-10      -5    -6           1.71
   415 H Lockport               15- 2      13     2    +++    7.53
   416 H West Seneca West        9- 7       2     4    -     -2.08
   418 A Williamsville North     2-11      -9    -6    -     -2.35
   419 A Sweet Home              5- 2       3    11    ---   -7.00
   425 A Hamburg                 3-16     -13   -17           0.00
   426 A Iroquois                6- 7      -1     0          -0.67
   427 A Grand Island           11- 4       7     2    ++     4.48
   429 A Williamsville South     8- 7 4o    1    -3    ++     4.04
   430 A West Seneca East        7-20     -13    -7    -     -2.01
   502 H Sweet Home             15- 6       9    12          -1.00
   504 H Williamsville South     4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.24
   507 A West Seneca West       10- 9       1     2          -1.80
   509 H Williamsville North     6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.37
   513 H Hamburg                 5-17     -12   -16           0.00
   522 A Hamburg                 3-18     -15   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Sweet Home              5- 2       3    11    ---   -7.00
   416 H West Seneca West        9- 7       2     4    -     -2.08
   418 A Williamsville North     2-11      -9    -6    -     -2.35
   430 A West Seneca East        7-20     -13    -7    -     -2.01
   504 H Williamsville South     4- 8      -4    -1    -     -2.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Lockport               15- 2      13     2    +++    7.53
   427 A Grand Island           11- 4       7     2    ++     4.48
   429 A Williamsville South     8- 7 4o    1    -3    ++     4.04
   509 H Williamsville North     6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.05 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.79 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.0
/