Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Kerri Kilkenny        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.0350952    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  (15- 3, 95.0)     6-10   
 327 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 82.0)    14- 4   
 329 A Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   (16- 3, 98.6)    13- 9   
 402 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 92.7)    12-10   
 404 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 78.4)    15- 9   
 410 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 93.3)     9- 8   
 413 H Hauppauge              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 84.8)    11- 8   
 416 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 77.4)    19-12   
 418 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 92.1)     8-12   
 422 H Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 89.5)     7- 9   
 424 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 6, 85.3)    17-11   
 426 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (18- 2, 98.0)    11-10 2o
 430 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 84.7)     9- 4   
 503 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 90.1)     9-10   
 509 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.4)    18- 8   
 513 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 85.1)    14- 6   
 520 H Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 89.5)    10- 7   
 522 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 93.3)    15-14   
 530 N Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (18- 2, 98.0)     8-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Sayville                6-10      -4    -2          -1.81
   327 H Smithtown West         14- 4      10    10           0.00
   329 A Yorktown, NY           13- 9       4    -6          n/a  
   402 H East Islip             12-10       2     0           1.84
   404 A Commack                15- 9       6    13    --    -4.00
   410 H Northport               9- 8       1     0           1.51
   413 H Hauppauge              11- 8       3     7    --    -4.99
   416 A William Floyd          19-12       7    14    -     -3.00
   418 A West Islip              8-12      -4     0    -     -3.73
   422 H Half Hollow Hills       7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.30
   424 A Smithtown East         17-11       6     6          -0.49
   426 A Bay Shore              11-10 2o    1    -6    +++    7.13
   430 H Lindenhurst             9- 4       5     8    -     -3.12
   503 A West Babylon            9-10      -1     1    -     -2.68
   509 H Middle Country         18- 8      10     5    ++     4.60
   513 A Sachem East            14- 6       8     6           1.30
   520 H Half Hollow Hills      10- 7       3     3          -0.30
   522 H Northport              15-14       1     0           1.51
   530 N Bay Shore               8-16      -8    -5    -     -2.37

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Commack                15- 9       6    13    --    -4.00
   413 H Hauppauge              11- 8       3     7    --    -4.99
   422 H Half Hollow Hills       7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.30
   416 A William Floyd          19-12       7    14    -     -3.00
   418 A West Islip              8-12      -4     0    -     -3.73
   430 H Lindenhurst             9- 4       5     8    -     -3.12
   503 A West Babylon            9-10      -1     1    -     -2.68
   530 N Bay Shore               8-16      -8    -5    -     -2.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Yorktown, NY           13- 9       4    -6    +++        
   426 A Bay Shore              11-10 2o    1    -6    +++    7.13
   509 H Middle Country         18- 8      10     5    ++     4.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.33 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.87 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.115.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/