Region = MA    Cen D1           
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Heather Egan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.8512955    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Nipmuc                 MA    Cen D1  (12- 7, 78.0)     9- 8   
 404 A Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    Cen D1  (10- 9, 76.9)    10- 9   
 405 H Wayland                MA    No D2   (13- 3, 89.0)     7-15   
 408 A Agawam                 MA    West D1 (13- 4, 87.2)     7-17   
 411 A Northbridge            MA    Cen D1  ( 2-12, 60.7)    15- 5   
 418 A Shrewsbury             MA    Cen D1  (17- 5, 85.4)     6-23   
 420 A Wachusett              MA    Cen D1  ( 2-14, 66.6)    14- 9   
 423 A Westborough            MA    Cen D1  ( 4-11, 75.1)    10- 9   
 429 H St. Peter-Marian       MA    Cen D1  ( 2-13, 59.4)    19- 8   
 430 A Northbridge            MA    Cen D1  ( 2-12, 60.7)    18-10   
 502 H Doherty-Worcester      MA    Cen D1  ( 3-13, 62.1)    11- 3   
 507 A Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (16- 3, 94.0)     7-17   
 511 H Shrewsbury             MA    Cen D1  (17- 5, 85.4)    12-20   
 514 H Agawam                 MA    West D1 (13- 4, 87.2)    14-15   
 516 H Nipmuc                 MA    Cen D1  (12- 7, 78.0)    12-13   
 517 H Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    Cen D1  (10- 9, 76.9)    11- 8   
 521 A Doherty-Worcester      MA    Cen D1  ( 3-13, 62.1)    16- 6   
 531 A Tyngsborough           MA    Cen D1  (16- 4, 79.8)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Nipmuc                  9- 8       1    -2    +      3.16
   404 A Grafton Memorial, MA   10- 9       1    -1    +      2.05
   405 H Wayland                 7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   408 A Agawam                  7-17     -10   -11           0.00
   411 A Northbridge            15- 5      10    15           0.00
   418 A Shrewsbury              6-23     -17    -9          -0.52
   420 A Wachusett              14- 9       5     9    --    -4.33
   423 A Westborough            10- 9       1     0           0.23
   429 H St. Peter-Marian       19- 8      11    18           0.00
   430 A Northbridge            18-10       8    15    -     -2.00
   502 H Doherty-Worcester      11- 3       8    15    -     -2.00
   507 A Minnechaug              7-17     -10   -18           0.00
   511 H Shrewsbury             12-20      -8    -7          -0.20
   514 H Agawam                 14-15      -1    -9    +++    8.67
   516 H Nipmuc                 12-13      -1     0          -0.52
   517 H Grafton Memorial, MA   11- 8       3     0    +      2.37
   521 A Doherty-Worcester      16- 6      10    13           0.00
   531 A Tyngsborough           10-11      -1    -3    +      2.89

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Wachusett              14- 9       5     9    --    -4.33
   430 A Northbridge            18-10       8    15    -     -2.00
   502 H Doherty-Worcester      11- 3       8    15    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Agawam                 14-15      -1    -9    +++    8.67
   402 A Nipmuc                  9- 8       1    -2    +      3.16
   404 A Grafton Memorial, MA   10- 9       1    -1    +      2.05
   405 H Wayland                 7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   517 H Grafton Memorial, MA   11- 8       3     0    +      2.37
   531 A Tyngsborough           10-11      -1    -3    +      2.89
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.72 Local Power Rank...........    80
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.99 Local SOS Rank.............    85
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    71
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   154
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    77
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/