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Region = MA Cen D1 Nickname = A Colonials Coach = Erica McMahonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.1931000 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 402 H Nashoba Regional MA Cen D1 ( 9- 9, 78.3) 16- 8 404 A Westborough MA Cen D1 ( 4-11, 75.1) 9- 7 406 H Nipmuc MA Cen D1 (12- 7, 78.0) 18- 6 409 H Wachusett MA Cen D1 ( 2-14, 66.6) 24-10 411 A Groton-Dunstable MA Cen D1 (16- 4, 82.9) 13-17 413 H Medfield MA So D2 (11- 5, 86.8) 9-18 416 A Hudson, MA MA Cen D1 ( 9- 9, 73.5) 17-10 418 H Tantasqua MA Cen D1 (10- 8, 76.7) 23- 6 423 A Algonquin MA Cen D1 (15- 4, 88.3) 8-18 430 H North Middlesex MA Cen D1 ( 5-12, 71.0) 20- 7 502 A Nashoba Regional MA Cen D1 ( 9- 9, 78.3) 13-11 507 H Westborough MA Cen D1 ( 4-11, 75.1) 15-14 510 A Grafton Memorial, MA MA Cen D1 (10- 9, 76.9) 19-15 511 A Tantasqua MA Cen D1 (10- 8, 76.7) 20-12 514 H Groton-Dunstable MA Cen D1 (16- 4, 82.9) 18- 8 516 H Algonquin MA Cen D1 (15- 4, 88.3) 12-13 518 A Minnechaug MA West D1 (16- 3, 94.0) 4-21 520 A Concord-Carlisle MA No D1 ( 8-10, 83.8) 15-14 521 A Wachusett MA Cen D1 ( 2-14, 66.6) 23-12 522 A North Middlesex MA Cen D1 ( 5-12, 71.0) 9- 8 o 531 H Bromfield School MA Cen D1 (12- 8, 77.2) 20- 6 605 N Tyngsborough MA Cen D1 (16- 4, 79.8) 22-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 H Nashoba Regional 16- 8 8 7 0.07 404 A Westborough 9- 7 2 9 --- -7.41 406 H Nipmuc 18- 6 12 8 1.84 409 H Wachusett 24-10 14 19 0.00 411 A Groton-Dunstable 13-17 -4 1 -- -5.64 413 H Medfield 9-18 -9 0 --- -8.43 416 A Hudson, MA 17-10 7 10 - -3.00 418 H Tantasqua 23- 6 17 9 0.52 423 A Algonquin 8-18 -10 -3 --- -6.19 430 H North Middlesex 20- 7 13 15 0.00 502 A Nashoba Regional 13-11 2 6 -- -4.25 507 H Westborough 15-14 1 11 --- -9.00 510 A Grafton Memorial, MA 19-15 4 7 - -3.59 511 A Tantasqua 20-12 8 7 0.20 514 H Groton-Dunstable 18- 8 10 3 +++ 6.68 516 H Algonquin 12-13 -1 -2 1.13 518 A Minnechaug 4-21 -17 -9 -0.55 520 A Concord-Carlisle 15-14 1 0 0.25 521 A Wachusett 23-12 11 17 0.00 522 A North Middlesex 9- 8 o 1 13 --- -9.00 531 H Bromfield School 20- 6 14 8 1.01 605 N Tyngsborough 22-13 9 5 + 3.41UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Westborough 9- 7 2 9 --- -7.41 413 H Medfield 9-18 -9 0 --- -8.43 423 A Algonquin 8-18 -10 -3 --- -6.19 507 H Westborough 15-14 1 11 --- -9.00 522 A North Middlesex 9- 8 o 1 13 --- -9.00 411 A Groton-Dunstable 13-17 -4 1 -- -5.64 502 A Nashoba Regional 13-11 2 6 -- -4.25 416 A Hudson, MA 17-10 7 10 - -3.00 510 A Grafton Memorial, MA 19-15 4 7 - -3.59OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 514 H Groton-Dunstable 18- 8 10 3 +++ 6.68 605 N Tyngsborough 22-13 9 5 + 3.41/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.35 Local Power Rank........... 29 Local SOS Rating......... 55.43 Local SOS Rank............. 56 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 26 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 144 Local Quality Win Rating. 5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 29 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -17.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -17.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 8.0