Region = MA    Cen D1           
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Erica McMahon         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.1931000    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Nashoba Regional       MA    Cen D1  ( 9- 9, 78.3)    16- 8   
 404 A Westborough            MA    Cen D1  ( 4-11, 75.1)     9- 7   
 406 H Nipmuc                 MA    Cen D1  (12- 7, 78.0)    18- 6   
 409 H Wachusett              MA    Cen D1  ( 2-14, 66.6)    24-10   
 411 A Groton-Dunstable       MA    Cen D1  (16- 4, 82.9)    13-17   
 413 H Medfield               MA    So D2   (11- 5, 86.8)     9-18   
 416 A Hudson, MA             MA    Cen D1  ( 9- 9, 73.5)    17-10   
 418 H Tantasqua              MA    Cen D1  (10- 8, 76.7)    23- 6   
 423 A Algonquin              MA    Cen D1  (15- 4, 88.3)     8-18   
 430 H North Middlesex        MA    Cen D1  ( 5-12, 71.0)    20- 7   
 502 A Nashoba Regional       MA    Cen D1  ( 9- 9, 78.3)    13-11   
 507 H Westborough            MA    Cen D1  ( 4-11, 75.1)    15-14   
 510 A Grafton Memorial, MA   MA    Cen D1  (10- 9, 76.9)    19-15   
 511 A Tantasqua              MA    Cen D1  (10- 8, 76.7)    20-12   
 514 H Groton-Dunstable       MA    Cen D1  (16- 4, 82.9)    18- 8   
 516 H Algonquin              MA    Cen D1  (15- 4, 88.3)    12-13   
 518 A Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (16- 3, 94.0)     4-21   
 520 A Concord-Carlisle       MA    No D1   ( 8-10, 83.8)    15-14   
 521 A Wachusett              MA    Cen D1  ( 2-14, 66.6)    23-12   
 522 A North Middlesex        MA    Cen D1  ( 5-12, 71.0)     9- 8  o
 531 H Bromfield School       MA    Cen D1  (12- 8, 77.2)    20- 6   
 605 N Tyngsborough           MA    Cen D1  (16- 4, 79.8)    22-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Nashoba Regional       16- 8       8     7           0.07
   404 A Westborough             9- 7       2     9    ---   -7.41
   406 H Nipmuc                 18- 6      12     8           1.84
   409 H Wachusett              24-10      14    19           0.00
   411 A Groton-Dunstable       13-17      -4     1    --    -5.64
   413 H Medfield                9-18      -9     0    ---   -8.43
   416 A Hudson, MA             17-10       7    10    -     -3.00
   418 H Tantasqua              23- 6      17     9           0.52
   423 A Algonquin               8-18     -10    -3    ---   -6.19
   430 H North Middlesex        20- 7      13    15           0.00
   502 A Nashoba Regional       13-11       2     6    --    -4.25
   507 H Westborough            15-14       1    11    ---   -9.00
   510 A Grafton Memorial, MA   19-15       4     7    -     -3.59
   511 A Tantasqua              20-12       8     7           0.20
   514 H Groton-Dunstable       18- 8      10     3    +++    6.68
   516 H Algonquin              12-13      -1    -2           1.13
   518 A Minnechaug              4-21     -17    -9          -0.55
   520 A Concord-Carlisle       15-14       1     0           0.25
   521 A Wachusett              23-12      11    17           0.00
   522 A North Middlesex         9- 8  o    1    13    ---   -9.00
   531 H Bromfield School       20- 6      14     8           1.01
   605 N Tyngsborough           22-13       9     5    +      3.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Westborough             9- 7       2     9    ---   -7.41
   413 H Medfield                9-18      -9     0    ---   -8.43
   423 A Algonquin               8-18     -10    -3    ---   -6.19
   507 H Westborough            15-14       1    11    ---   -9.00
   522 A North Middlesex         9- 8  o    1    13    ---   -9.00
   411 A Groton-Dunstable       13-17      -4     1    --    -5.64
   502 A Nashoba Regional       13-11       2     6    --    -4.25
   416 A Hudson, MA             17-10       7    10    -     -3.00
   510 A Grafton Memorial, MA   19-15       4     7    -     -3.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Groton-Dunstable       18- 8      10     3    +++    6.68
   605 N Tyngsborough           22-13       9     5    +      3.41
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.35 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.43 Local SOS Rank.............    56
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   144
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.0
/