Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Allison Bourgal       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.4433441    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Miller Place           NY B  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 82.1)    12- 8   
 327 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-13, 69.4)    13- 5   
 402 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 93.3)    10-15   
 404 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 78.2)    16- 4   
 406 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 81.8)    15- 4   
 410 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 92.7)    11-18   
 416 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 84.7)     8- 5   
 418 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 90.1)    11-10   
 422 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (18- 2, 98.0)     4-16   
 424 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 78.4)     9- 6   
 426 A Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 89.5)     4-14   
 430 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 77.4)    16- 7   
 503 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 3, 92.1)    10-11   
 509 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 6, 85.3)     9-13   
 513 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (14- 5, 92.3)     6-14   
 517 A Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 89.5)     8-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Miller Place           12- 8       4     3           0.44
   327 H Riverhead              13- 5       8    16    -     -2.00
   402 A Northport              10-15      -5    -8    +      3.71
   404 A North Babylon          16- 4      12     6    +      3.55
   406 H Walt Whitman, NY       15- 4      11     3    +++    6.17
   410 A East Islip             11-18      -7    -8           1.04
   416 A Lindenhurst             8- 5       3     0    +      3.09
   418 H West Babylon           11-10       1    -4    ++     5.52
   422 A Bay Shore               4-16     -12   -13           0.00
   424 H Commack                 9- 6       3     7    --    -4.26
   426 A Half Hollow Hills       4-14     -10    -4    --    -5.10
   430 H William Floyd          16- 7       9     8           0.76
   503 H West Islip             10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.48
   509 A Smithtown East          9-13      -4     0    -     -3.29
   513 H Ward Melville           6-14      -8    -6          -1.30
   517 A Half Hollow Hills       8-13      -5    -4          -0.10

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Commack                 9- 6       3     7    --    -4.26
   426 A Half Hollow Hills       4-14     -10    -4    --    -5.10
   327 H Riverhead              13- 5       8    16    -     -2.00
   509 A Smithtown East          9-13      -4     0    -     -3.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Walt Whitman, NY       15- 4      11     3    +++    6.17
   418 H West Babylon           11-10       1    -4    ++     5.52
   503 H West Islip             10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.48
   402 A Northport              10-15      -5    -8    +      3.71
   404 A North Babylon          16- 4      12     6    +      3.55
   416 A Lindenhurst             8- 5       3     0    +      3.09
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.13 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.38 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/