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Region = MA West D1 Nickname = A Mustangs Coach = Lauren J. SmithGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 78.7432251 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 329 H Northampton MA West D1 ( 9- 9, 77.1) 5-11 402 A Amherst-Pelham MA West D1 ( 1-16, 70.4) 7- 9 405 H Westfield HS, MA MA West D1 ( 8-10, 75.1) 13-12 408 A St. Mary's, Westfield MA West D ( 0- 8, 59.8) 20- 9 416 H East Longmeadow MA West D1 ( 9- 8, 80.3) 8-19 418 H Belchertown MA West D1 (14- 4, 80.2) 10-12 419 A Cathedral, MA MA West D1 ( 1-13, 60.9) 16-11 422 H Holyoke Catholic MA West D1 ( 2- 9, 64.8) 10- 6 424 H Chicopee Comp MA Indep ( 2-13, 58.8) 20- 4 426 A West Springfield, MA MA West D1 ( 6- 3, 77.9) 8- 8 430 A Chicopee Comp MA Indep ( 2-13, 58.8) 12- 3 503 A Westfield HS, MA MA West D1 ( 8-10, 75.1) 12-16 510 H St. Mary's, Westfield MA West D ( 0- 8, 59.8) 22-13 513 A Belchertown MA West D1 (14- 4, 80.2) 8-11 514 A Cathedral, MA MA West D1 ( 1-13, 60.9) 16-11 517 H Cathedral, MA MA West D1 ( 1-13, 60.9) 20- 7 521 H South Hadley MA West D1 ( 9- 7, 81.6) 10-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 H Northampton 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.33 402 A Amherst-Pelham 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.40 405 H Westfield HS, MA 13-12 1 0 0.65 408 A St. Mary's, Westfield 20- 9 11 13 0.00 416 H East Longmeadow 8-19 -11 -4 -- -5.16 418 H Belchertown 10-12 -2 -4 + 2.79 419 A Cathedral, MA 16-11 5 12 -- -5.00 422 H Holyoke Catholic 10- 6 4 10 --- -6.00 424 H Chicopee Comp 20- 4 16 16 0.00 426 A West Springfield, MA 8- 8 0 -4 ++ 4.11 430 A Chicopee Comp 12- 3 9 14 -1.00 503 A Westfield HS, MA 12-16 -4 -1 - -2.67 510 H St. Mary's, Westfield 22-13 9 15 -1.00 513 A Belchertown 8-11 -3 -6 + 3.47 514 A Cathedral, MA 16-11 5 12 -- -5.00 517 H Cathedral, MA 20- 7 13 14 0.00 521 H South Hadley 10-11 -1 -6 ++ 5.19UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 H Holyoke Catholic 10- 6 4 10 --- -6.00 329 H Northampton 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.33 402 A Amherst-Pelham 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.40 416 H East Longmeadow 8-19 -11 -4 -- -5.16 419 A Cathedral, MA 16-11 5 12 -- -5.00 514 A Cathedral, MA 16-11 5 12 -- -5.00 503 A Westfield HS, MA 12-16 -4 -1 - -2.67OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 A West Springfield, MA 8- 8 0 -4 ++ 4.11 521 H South Hadley 10-11 -1 -6 ++ 5.19 418 H Belchertown 10-12 -2 -4 + 2.79 513 A Belchertown 8-11 -3 -6 + 3.47/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 74.60 Local Power Rank........... 86 Local SOS Rating......... 41.60 Local SOS Rank............. 153 Local RPI Rating......... 0.42 Local RPI Rank............. 133 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 104 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 80 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.7