Region = MA    West D1          
   Nickname = A Mustangs             Coach  =   Lauren J. Smith       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.7432251    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 9- 9, 77.1)     5-11   
 402 A Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 1-16, 70.4)     7- 9   
 405 H Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 8-10, 75.1)    13-12   
 408 A St. Mary's, Westfield  MA    West  D ( 0- 8, 59.8)    20- 9   
 416 H East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 9- 8, 80.3)     8-19   
 418 H Belchertown            MA    West D1 (14- 4, 80.2)    10-12   
 419 A Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 1-13, 60.9)    16-11   
 422 H Holyoke Catholic       MA    West D1 ( 2- 9, 64.8)    10- 6   
 424 H Chicopee Comp          MA    Indep   ( 2-13, 58.8)    20- 4   
 426 A West Springfield, MA   MA    West D1 ( 6- 3, 77.9)     8- 8   
 430 A Chicopee Comp          MA    Indep   ( 2-13, 58.8)    12- 3   
 503 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 8-10, 75.1)    12-16   
 510 H St. Mary's, Westfield  MA    West  D ( 0- 8, 59.8)    22-13   
 513 A Belchertown            MA    West D1 (14- 4, 80.2)     8-11   
 514 A Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 1-13, 60.9)    16-11   
 517 H Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 1-13, 60.9)    20- 7   
 521 H South Hadley           MA    West D1 ( 9- 7, 81.6)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Northampton             5-11      -6    -1    --    -4.33
   402 A Amherst-Pelham          7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.40
   405 H Westfield HS, MA       13-12       1     0           0.65
   408 A St. Mary's, Westfield  20- 9      11    13           0.00
   416 H East Longmeadow         8-19     -11    -4    --    -5.16
   418 H Belchertown            10-12      -2    -4    +      2.79
   419 A Cathedral, MA          16-11       5    12    --    -5.00
   422 H Holyoke Catholic       10- 6       4    10    ---   -6.00
   424 H Chicopee Comp          20- 4      16    16           0.00
   426 A West Springfield, MA    8- 8       0    -4    ++     4.11
   430 A Chicopee Comp          12- 3       9    14          -1.00
   503 A Westfield HS, MA       12-16      -4    -1    -     -2.67
   510 H St. Mary's, Westfield  22-13       9    15          -1.00
   513 A Belchertown             8-11      -3    -6    +      3.47
   514 A Cathedral, MA          16-11       5    12    --    -5.00
   517 H Cathedral, MA          20- 7      13    14           0.00
   521 H South Hadley           10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Holyoke Catholic       10- 6       4    10    ---   -6.00
   329 H Northampton             5-11      -6    -1    --    -4.33
   402 A Amherst-Pelham          7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.40
   416 H East Longmeadow         8-19     -11    -4    --    -5.16
   419 A Cathedral, MA          16-11       5    12    --    -5.00
   514 A Cathedral, MA          16-11       5    12    --    -5.00
   503 A Westfield HS, MA       12-16      -4    -1    -     -2.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A West Springfield, MA    8- 8       0    -4    ++     4.11
   521 H South Hadley           10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.19
   418 H Belchertown            10-12      -2    -4    +      2.79
   513 A Belchertown             8-11      -3    -6    +      3.47
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.60 Local Power Rank...........    86
 Local SOS Rating......... 41.60 Local SOS Rank.............   153
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............   133
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   104
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    80
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/