Region = MA    West D1          
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   David Yelle           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.1940765    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 9- 9, 77.1)    16- 5   
 402 H Belchertown            MA    West D1 (14- 4, 80.2)    16- 3   
 404 A Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 1-16, 70.4)    13- 1   
 408 H South Hadley           MA    West D1 ( 9- 7, 81.6)    17- 3   
 411 A East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 9- 8, 80.3)    15- 6   
 413 H Algonquin              MA    Cen D1  (15- 4, 88.3)     8- 5   
 416 H West Springfield, MA   MA    West D1 ( 6- 3, 77.9)    15- 1   
 418 H Agawam                 MA    West D1 (13- 4, 87.2)    17- 2   
 422 A Longmeadow             MA    West D1 (23- 2, 98.0)     8-12   
 430 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 8-10, 75.1)    15- 4   
 502 A Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 9- 9, 77.1)    15- 1   
 504 H Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 1-16, 70.4)    12- 0   
 507 H Tantasqua              MA    Cen D1  (10- 8, 76.7)    17- 7   
 509 A South Hadley           MA    West D1 ( 9- 7, 81.6)    17- 5   
 513 H East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 9- 8, 80.3)    13-10   
 516 A Agawam                 MA    West D1 (13- 4, 87.2)    16- 3   
 518 H Shrewsbury             MA    Cen D1  (17- 5, 85.4)    21- 4   
 520 H Longmeadow             MA    West D1 (23- 2, 98.0)    15-19   
 608 N Longmeadow             MA    West D1 (23- 2, 98.0)    12-14  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Northampton            16- 5      11    17           0.00
   402 H Belchertown            16- 3      13    14           0.00
   404 A Amherst-Pelham         13- 1      12    22           0.00
   408 H South Hadley           17- 3      14    13           0.00
   411 A East Longmeadow        15- 6       9    12          -1.00
   413 H Algonquin               8- 5       3     6    -     -3.49
   416 H West Springfield, MA   15- 1      14    16           0.00
   418 H Agawam                 17- 2      15     7    +      2.42
   422 A Longmeadow              8-12      -4    -4           0.84
   430 A Westfield HS, MA       15- 4      11    18           0.00
   502 A Northampton            15- 1      14    16           0.00
   504 H Amherst-Pelham         12- 0      12    24           0.00
   507 H Tantasqua              17- 7      10    18           0.00
   509 A South Hadley           17- 5      12    11           0.00
   513 H East Longmeadow        13-10       3    14    ---   -7.00
   516 A Agawam                 16- 3      13     5    ++     4.10
   518 H Shrewsbury             21- 4      17     9           0.55
   520 H Longmeadow             15-19      -4    -3          -0.84
   608 N Longmeadow             12-14  o   -2    -4    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H East Longmeadow        13-10       3    14    ---   -7.00
   413 H Algonquin               8- 5       3     6    -     -3.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Agawam                 16- 3      13     5    ++     4.10
   418 H Agawam                 17- 2      15     7    +      2.42
   608 N Longmeadow             12-14  o   -2    -4    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.97 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.30 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    9.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/