Region = MA    No D1            
   Nickname = A Chieftains           Coach  =   Alan McCarthy         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.5307541    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Winchester             MA    No D2   (20- 4, 87.5)    10- 9   
 404 H Marblehead             MA    No D2   (19- 3, 87.2)    10-11   
 408 A Pentucket Regional     MA    No D2   ( 6- 9, 73.3)    17- 8   
 410 H Lynnfield              MA    No D2   ( 7-11, 70.7)    16- 6   
 416 H Bishop Fenwick, MA     MA    No D2   (12- 7, 80.2)    18- 6   
 422 H Concord-Carlisle       MA    No D1   ( 8-10, 83.8)     8-12   
 423 H Manchester-Essex       MA    No D2   (14- 3, 84.3)    14- 9   
 425 A North Reading          MA    No D2   ( 3-11, 67.1)    13- 3   
 429 A Ipswich                MA    No D2   (12- 4, 85.3)    12-14   
 430 H Hamilton-Wenham        MA    No D2   (15- 5, 80.8)    10- 8   
 502 H Exeter Area HS, NH     NH    DI      (12- 8, 91.6)     7- 8   
 503 A Triton Regional, MA    MA    No D2   ( 2-12, 67.5)    14- 3   
 506 H North Andover          MA    No D1   (18- 6, 87.5)    13-12  o
 508 A Georgetown, MA         MA    No D2   ( 4-10, 70.7)    23- 9   
 510 H Newburyport            MA    No D2   (11- 7, 81.7)    11- 6   
 513 H Beverly                MA    No D1   ( 9- 9, 77.4)     9- 8   
 515 A North Andover          MA    No D1   (18- 6, 87.5)    14-17   
 516 H Ipswich                MA    No D2   (12- 4, 85.3)    14-12   
 520 A Reading Memorial       MA    No D1   (12- 5, 82.5)    14-12   
 522 H Danvers                MA    No D2   ( 4-12, 72.1)    17- 3   
 529 H Concord-Carlisle       MA    No D1   ( 8-10, 83.8)    11-10   
 531 H Acton-Boxborough       MA    No D1   (13- 7, 87.4)    14- 5   
 604 A Westford Academy       MA    No D1   (23- 2, 94.0)     9-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Winchester             10- 9       1    -1    +      2.97
   404 H Marblehead             10-11      -1     0          -1.01
   408 A Pentucket Regional     17- 8       9    12          -1.00
   410 H Lynnfield              16- 6      10    16           0.00
   416 H Bishop Fenwick, MA     18- 6      12     7    +      2.92
   422 H Concord-Carlisle        8-12      -4     3    ---   -7.47
   423 H Manchester-Essex       14- 9       5     2    +      2.03
   425 A North Reading          13- 3      10    18           0.00
   429 A Ipswich                12-14      -2     0    -     -2.20
   430 H Hamilton-Wenham        10- 8       2     6    --    -4.46
   502 H Exeter Area HS, NH      7- 8      -1    -4          n/a  
   503 A Triton Regional, MA    14- 3      11    18           0.00
   506 H North Andover          13-12  o    1     0           1.27
   508 A Georgetown, MA         23- 9      14    14           0.00
   510 H Newburyport            11- 6       5     5          -0.56
   513 H Beverly                 9- 8       1     9    ---   -8.80
   515 A North Andover          14-17      -3    -1          -1.05
   516 H Ipswich                14-12       2     1           0.12
   520 A Reading Memorial       14-12       2     3          -1.03
   522 H Danvers                17- 3      14    15           0.00
   529 H Concord-Carlisle       11-10       1     3    -     -2.47
   531 H Acton-Boxborough       14- 5       9     0    +++    9.20
   604 A Westford Academy        9-19     -10    -8          -1.60

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Concord-Carlisle        8-12      -4     3    ---   -7.47
   513 H Beverly                 9- 8       1     9    ---   -8.80
   430 H Hamilton-Wenham        10- 8       2     6    --    -4.46
   429 A Ipswich                12-14      -2     0    -     -2.20
   529 H Concord-Carlisle       11-10       1     3    -     -2.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   531 H Acton-Boxborough       14- 5       9     0    +++    9.20
   402 A Winchester             10- 9       1    -1    +      2.97
   416 H Bishop Fenwick, MA     18- 6      12     7    +      2.92
   423 H Manchester-Essex       14- 9       5     2    +      2.03
   502 H Exeter Area HS, NH      7- 8      -1    -4    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.39 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.47 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    94
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/