Region = MA    West D1          
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Steve Dudeck          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.3128281    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A South Hadley           MA    West D1 ( 9- 7, 81.6)    15- 1   
 406 H East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 9- 8, 80.3)    15- 0   
 409 A West Springfield, MA   MA    West D1 ( 6- 3, 77.9)    16- 0   
 411 A Agawam                 MA    West D1 (13- 4, 87.2)    21- 8   
 413 A Andover, MA            MA    No D1   ( 9- 9, 84.7)    13- 7   
 417 H Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 8-10, 75.1)    16- 4   
 420 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (16- 2, 99.9)    13-10   
 422 H Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (16- 3, 94.0)    12- 8   
 427 A New Canaan             CT    Class M (21- 2, 95.5)     8-11   
 429 H Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 1-16, 70.4)    17- 5   
 502 H South Hadley           MA    West D1 ( 9- 7, 81.6)    16- 1   
 503 H Loomis Chaffee School  NE            ( 9- 6, 90.4)    15- 6   
 506 A East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 9- 8, 80.3)    16- 1   
 509 H Agawam                 MA    West D1 (13- 4, 87.2)    18- 1   
 510 H Belchertown            MA    West D1 (14- 4, 80.2)    15- 4   
 513 A Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 1-16, 70.4)    14- 0   
 516 A Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 9- 9, 77.1)    15- 0   
 520 A Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (16- 3, 94.0)    19-15   
 522 H Lincoln-Sudbury        MA    No D1   (10- 8, 87.5)    19- 8   
 524 H Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 9- 9, 77.1)    19- 2   
 601 H East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 9- 8, 80.3)    17- 2   
 603 N South Hadley           MA    West D1 ( 9- 7, 81.6)    18- 4   
 608 N Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (16- 3, 94.0)    14-12  o
 612 N Algonquin              MA    Cen D1  (15- 4, 88.3)    16- 3   
 614 N Notre Dame Acad, MA    MA    So D1   (24- 2, 99.1)    10-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A South Hadley           15- 1      14    15           0.00
   406 H East Longmeadow        15- 0      15    18           0.00
   409 A West Springfield, MA   16- 0      16    19           0.00
   411 A Agawam                 21- 8      13     9           0.10
   413 A Andover, MA            13- 7       6    12    --    -4.00
   417 H Westfield HS, MA       16- 4      12    23           0.00
   420 H Guilderland            13-10       3    -1          n/a  
   422 H Minnechaug             12- 8       4     4          -0.84
   427 A New Canaan              8-11      -3     1          n/a  
   429 H Amherst-Pelham         17- 5      12    28           0.00
   502 H South Hadley           16- 1      15    17           0.00
   503 H Loomis Chaffee School  15- 6       9     8          n/a  
   506 A East Longmeadow        16- 1      15    16           0.00
   509 H Agawam                 18- 1      17    11           0.00
   510 H Belchertown            15- 4      11    18           0.00
   513 A Amherst-Pelham         14- 0      14    26           0.00
   516 A Northampton            15- 0      15    20           0.00
   520 A Minnechaug             19-15       4     3           0.84
   522 H Lincoln-Sudbury        19- 8      11    11           0.00
   524 H Northampton            19- 2      17    21           0.00
   601 H East Longmeadow        17- 2      15    18           0.00
   603 N South Hadley           18- 4      14    16           0.00
   608 N Minnechaug             14-12  o    2     4    -     -2.00
   612 N Algonquin              16- 3      13     9           0.35
   614 N Notre Dame Acad, MA    10-13      -3    -1          -1.92

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Andover, MA            13- 7       6    12    --    -4.00
   427 A New Canaan              8-11      -3     1    --         
   608 N Minnechaug             14-12  o    2     4    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Guilderland            13-10       3    -1    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.97 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.01 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.72 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   13.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.190.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 23- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   10.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/