Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY C  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Chiefs               Coach  =   Mark Dubel            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.4144135    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 80.2)     6- 4   
 408 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 82.1)     4- 8   
 415 H Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 5- 9, 79.4)    14-11   
 417 A Amherst, NY            NY C  Sec 6   (11- 7, 88.3)     3-11   
 422 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 84.3)    13- 3   
 424 H Springville-Griffith   NY C  Sec 6   ( 1-12, 67.4)    16- 4   
 426 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 83.0)     7- 6   
 427 H Lake Shore             NY C  Sec 6   (12- 4, 89.4)     6- 9   
 429 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 5, 89.6)     6- 9   
 501 A Lake Shore             NY C  Sec 6   (12- 4, 89.4)     6- 8   
 503 A Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 5- 9, 79.4)    14-16   
 506 H Amherst, NY            NY C  Sec 6   (11- 7, 88.3)     6- 7   
 508 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 84.3)     9-11   
 511 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 9- 6, 81.2)     9- 6   
 513 A Springville-Griffith   NY C  Sec 6   ( 1-12, 67.4)    15- 6   
 515 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 4, 94.5)     1-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Orchard Park            6- 4       2     1           0.11
   408 A Niagara-Wheatfield      4- 8      -4     0    -     -3.97
   415 H Eden                   14-11       3     3          -0.94
   417 A Amherst, NY             3-11      -8    -6          -1.75
   422 H East Aurora            13- 3      10     0    +++   10.93
   424 H Springville-Griffith   16- 4      12    15           0.00
   426 H Williamsville East      7- 6       1     0           0.67
   427 H Lake Shore              6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.06
   429 H Clarence                6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.25
   501 A Lake Shore              6- 8      -2    -7    ++     5.34
   503 A Eden                   14-16      -2     2    --    -4.66
   506 H Amherst, NY             6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.97
   508 A East Aurora             9-11      -2    -2           0.21
   511 A Lockport                9- 6       3     0    +      2.13
   513 A Springville-Griffith   15- 6       9    14          -1.00
   515 H Frontier                1-10      -9   -11           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Eden                   14-16      -2     2    --    -4.66
   408 A Niagara-Wheatfield      4- 8      -4     0    -     -3.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H East Aurora            13- 3      10     0    +++   10.93
   501 A Lake Shore              6- 8      -2    -7    ++     5.34
   427 H Lake Shore              6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.06
   429 H Clarence                6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.25
   506 H Amherst, NY             6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.97
   511 A Lockport                9- 6       3     0    +      2.13
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.73 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.72 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/