Region = MA    No D1            
   Nickname = A Flyers               Coach  =   Stacy Freda           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.0908203    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Wellesley HS           MA    So D1   (12- 8, 86.3)     8- 2   
 405 H Weymouth               MA    So D1   ( 9-10, 73.6)    17- 3   
 409 A Natick                 MA    So D1   ( 8-10, 82.0)    14- 7   
 411 H Needham                MA    So D1   (20- 3, 95.2)     6- 9   
 415 H Reading Memorial       MA    No D1   (12- 5, 82.5)    17- 8   
 417 A Winchester             MA    No D2   (20- 4, 87.5)    13-15   
 423 A Dedham                 MA    So D2   ( 3-10, 70.0)    17- 9   
 426 A Newton North           MA    So D1   ( 7-10, 80.5)    18- 9   
 429 A Andover, MA            MA    No D1   ( 9- 9, 84.7)    14- 6   
 430 A Milton, MA             MA    So D2   ( 0-10, 68.1)    16- 9   
 502 A Braintree              MA    So D1   ( 9- 9, 77.6)    20-12   
 503 H Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (22- 1, 99.9)     6-18   
 506 H Newton North           MA    So D1   ( 7-10, 80.5)    16- 7   
 507 H Norwood                MA    So D1   ( 9- 8, 81.3)    19-13   
 511 H Duxbury                MA    So D2   (15- 6, 90.1)    11-10   
 514 H Brookline              MA    So D1   ( 2-13, 66.4)    15- 0   
 516 H Wellesley HS           MA    So D1   (12- 8, 86.3)    12-11   
 518 H Westborough            MA    Cen D1  ( 4-11, 75.1)   
 521 A Concord-Carlisle       MA    No D1   ( 8-10, 83.8)    15-17   
 604 H North Andover          MA    No D1   (18- 6, 87.5)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Wellesley HS            8- 2       6     3    +      2.59
   405 H Weymouth               17- 3      14    16           0.00
   409 A Natick                 14- 7       7     6           0.95
   411 H Needham                 6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.49
   415 H Reading Memorial       17- 8       9     7           1.80
   417 A Winchester             13-15      -2     0    -     -2.52
   423 A Dedham                 17- 9       8    18    -     -2.00
   426 A Newton North           18- 9       9     7           1.45
   429 A Andover, MA            14- 6       8     3    ++     4.66
   430 A Milton, MA             16- 9       7    19    -     -3.00
   502 A Braintree              20-12       8    10    -     -2.00
   503 H Westwood, MA            6-18     -12   -10           0.00
   506 H Newton North           16- 7       9     9          -0.23
   507 H Norwood                19-13       6     8    -     -2.38
   511 H Duxbury                11-10       1     0           1.39
   514 H Brookline              15- 0      15    23           0.00
   516 H Wellesley HS           12-11       1     3    -     -2.41
   521 A Concord-Carlisle       15-17      -2     4    ---   -6.28
   604 H North Andover           7- 9      -2     2    --    -4.22

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 A Concord-Carlisle       15-17      -2     4    ---   -6.28
   604 H North Andover           7- 9      -2     2    --    -4.22
   417 A Winchester             13-15      -2     0    -     -2.52
   423 A Dedham                 17- 9       8    18    -     -2.00
   430 A Milton, MA             16- 9       7    19    -     -3.00
   502 A Braintree              20-12       8    10    -     -2.00
   507 H Norwood                19-13       6     8    -     -2.38
   516 H Wellesley HS           12-11       1     3    -     -2.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Andover, MA            14- 6       8     3    ++     4.66
   328 H Wellesley HS            8- 2       6     3    +      2.59
   411 H Needham                 6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.49
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.88 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.65 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    60
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/