Region = MA    No D1            
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Scott Biron           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.6423645    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Marblehead             MA    No D2   (19- 3, 87.2)    14- 7   
 404 H Lincoln-Sudbury        MA    No D1   (10- 8, 87.5)    11-16   
 408 H Andover, MA            MA    No D1   ( 9- 9, 84.7)     8- 8   
 411 A Newton South           MA    So D1   ( 5-11, 74.4)    18- 2   
 418 A Westford Academy       MA    No D1   (23- 2, 94.0)     7-13   
 420 A Wellesley HS           MA    So D1   (12- 8, 86.3)    11- 6   
 423 A Waltham                MA    No D1   ( 3-14, 68.9)    18- 1   
 425 H Concord-Carlisle       MA    No D1   ( 8-10, 83.8)    12- 8   
 429 H Chelmsford             MA    No D1   ( 7-11, 75.8)    18- 8   
 430 A Weston, MA             MA    No D2   (10- 8, 81.5)    19- 8   
 502 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA    No D1   (10- 8, 87.5)    11- 9   
 506 H Franklin, MA           MA    So D1   (18- 3, 90.7)     5-10   
 507 H Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (22- 1, 99.9)     6-16   
 509 H Newton South           MA    So D1   ( 5-11, 74.4)    14- 8   
 510 A Newton North           MA    So D1   ( 7-10, 80.5)    17-15   
 513 A Medway                 MA    So D2   ( 9- 8, 78.2)    18-11   
 514 H Westford Academy       MA    No D1   (23- 2, 94.0)     5- 7   
 516 H Waltham                MA    No D1   ( 3-14, 68.9)    20- 4   
 517 H Lexington HS           MA    No D1   (12- 6, 82.9)    13- 7   
 521 H Notre Dame Acad, MA    MA    So D1   (24- 2, 99.1)     5-16   
 531 A Masconomet             MA    No D1   (17- 6, 86.4)     5-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Marblehead             14- 7       7     1    ++     5.96
   404 H Lincoln-Sudbury        11-16      -5     0    --    -5.72
   408 H Andover, MA             8- 8       0     3    -     -3.57
   411 A Newton South           18- 2      16    12           0.00
   418 A Westford Academy        7-13      -6    -7           1.37
   420 A Wellesley HS           11- 6       5     0    ++     4.72
   423 A Waltham                18- 1      17    17           0.00
   425 H Concord-Carlisle       12- 8       4     4          -0.51
   429 H Chelmsford             18- 8      10    12           0.00
   430 A Weston, MA             19- 8      11     5    ++     4.89
   502 A Lincoln-Sudbury        11- 9       2     0    +      2.96
   506 H Franklin, MA            5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.60
   507 H Westwood, MA            6-16     -10   -11           0.00
   509 H Newton South           14- 8       6    13    --    -4.00
   510 A Newton North           17-15       2     6    --    -4.10
   513 A Medway                 18-11       7     8          -1.35
   514 H Westford Academy        5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.69
   516 H Waltham                20- 4      16    19           0.00
   517 H Lexington HS           13- 7       6     5           0.62
   521 H Notre Dame Acad, MA     5-16     -11   -10           0.00
   531 A Masconomet              5-14      -9     0    ---   -9.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   531 A Masconomet              5-14      -9     0    ---   -9.20
   404 H Lincoln-Sudbury        11-16      -5     0    --    -5.72
   509 H Newton South           14- 8       6    13    --    -4.00
   510 A Newton North           17-15       2     6    --    -4.10
   408 H Andover, MA             8- 8       0     3    -     -3.57
   506 H Franklin, MA            5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Marblehead             14- 7       7     1    ++     5.96
   420 A Wellesley HS           11- 6       5     0    ++     4.72
   430 A Weston, MA             19- 8      11     5    ++     4.89
   502 A Lincoln-Sudbury        11- 9       2     0    +      2.96
   514 H Westford Academy        5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.69
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.43 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.15 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/