Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Nancy Webber Haws     

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.3765564    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Salem, VA              VA    NW AA   (13- 7, 75.8)    18-10   
 414 H Lake Braddock          VA    Pat     (14- 4, 90.4)     9-13   
 414 H Westfield, VA          VA    Cncrd   (11- 5, 92.4)     9-21   
 416 A Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (16- 4, 83.7)    14-13  o
 418 A Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 4-10, 68.9)    16- 7   
 420 H Fluvanna               VA    NW AA   ( 0-13, 57.4)    20- 5   
 427 H Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   (10- 8, 75.7)    17- 8   
 501 A Fluvanna               VA    NW AA   ( 0-13, 57.4)    19- 4   
 504 H Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (16- 4, 83.7)    12-13   
 505 A Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   (10- 8, 75.7)    13-14   
 508 H Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 4-10, 68.9)    12- 5   
 515 H Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   (10- 8, 75.7)    22-10   
 517 A Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (16- 4, 83.7)    14-15  o
 521 A Godwin                 VA    WV      (13- 2, 81.1)    14-10   
 525 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke VA    NW AAA  (15- 2, 83.1)    12- 6   
 528 A Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (16- 4, 83.7)    13- 8   
 602 H Forest Park            VA    NW AAA  (16- 3, 83.4)    12- 9   
 605 N Oakton                 VA    Cncrd   (18- 2, 99.9)     6-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Salem, VA              18-10       8     8          -0.16
   414 H Lake Braddock           9-13      -4    -6    +      2.52
   414 H Westfield, VA           9-21     -12    -8          -1.52
   416 A Albemarle              14-13  o    1    -1    +      2.95
   418 A Charlottesville        16- 7       9    12          -1.00
   420 H Fluvanna               20- 5      15    26           0.00
   427 H Monticello, VA         17- 8       9     8           0.76
   501 A Fluvanna               19- 4      15    24           0.00
   504 H Albemarle              12-13      -1     0          -1.24
   505 A Monticello, VA         13-14      -1     6    ---   -7.05
   508 H Charlottesville        12- 5       7    15    -     -3.00
   515 H Monticello, VA         22-10      12     8           1.76
   517 A Albemarle              14-15  o   -1    -1           0.95
   521 A Godwin                 14-10       4     0    +      3.31
   525 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke 12- 6       6    -1    +++    7.36
   528 A Albemarle              13- 8       5    -1    +++    6.95
   602 H Forest Park            12- 9       3     0    +      2.45
   605 N Oakton                  6-19     -13   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Monticello, VA         13-14      -1     6    ---   -7.05
   508 H Charlottesville        12- 5       7    15    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   525 A Patrick Henry, Roanoke 12- 6       6    -1    +++    7.36
   528 A Albemarle              13- 8       5    -1    +++    6.95
   414 H Lake Braddock           9-13      -4    -6    +      2.52
   416 A Albemarle              14-13  o    1    -1    +      2.95
   521 A Godwin                 14-10       4     0    +      3.31
   602 H Forest Park            12- 9       3     0    +      2.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.83 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.20 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   115
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    41
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/