Swartz Creek                  6 - 5


 
                                     Region = MI    DII              
   Nickname = I Dragons              Coach  =   Brian Gilbert         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   79.7225342    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Dexter                 MI    DII     ( 6-11, 68.6)    16-11   
 410 A Williamston-Haslett    MI    DII     (10-10, 79.3)     4-21   
 412 A Flushing               MI    DII     ( 2- 7, 67.8)   
 413 H Saginaw Heritage       MI    DII     ( 3- 9, 64.8)    20-10   
 424 H Midland-HH Dow, MI     MI    DI      ( 8- 6, 73.7)     9- 6   
 427 A Saginaw Heritage       MI    DII     ( 3- 9, 64.8)    15-14   
 429 N DeWitt                 MI    DII     ( 4-13, 69.9)     8- 3   
 429 N Skyline, MI            MI    DII     (13- 7, 82.1)     6- 9   
 429 A Waverly-LC-GL United   MI    DI      ( 5-15, 74.8)     7- 8   
 510 A Midland-HH Dow, MI     MI    DI      ( 8- 6, 73.7)     5- 9   
 516 H Dexter                 MI    DII     ( 6-11, 68.6)    19- 7   
 524 H East Lansing           MI    DII     ( 9- 9, 78.5)    11-15   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Dexter                 16-11       5     5          -0.54
   410 A Williamston-Haslett     4-21     -17    -5    --    -4.80
   413 H Saginaw Heritage       20-10      10    10           0.00
   424 H Midland-HH Dow, MI      9- 6       3     1           1.21
   427 A Saginaw Heritage       15-14       1     9    ---   -8.29
   429 N DeWitt                  8- 3       5     4           0.12
   429 N Skyline, MI             6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.28
   429 A Waverly-LC-GL United    7- 8      -1     0          -0.32
   510 A Midland-HH Dow, MI      5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.44
   516 H Dexter                 19- 7      12     6    +      3.11
   524 H East Lansing           11-15      -4    -2          -1.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Saginaw Heritage       15-14       1     9    ---   -8.29
   410 A Williamston-Haslett     4-21     -17    -5    --    -4.80
   510 A Midland-HH Dow, MI      5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.44


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 N Skyline, MI             6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.28
   516 H Dexter                 19- 7      12     6    +      3.11




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.80 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 45.43 Local SOS Rank.............    58
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    41
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    59
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    34
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3


  
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