Conf =  Indep                     Region = NY C  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Black Horses         Coach  =   Erin Lloyd            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.2652588    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 5-12, 73.5)    14-12   
 404 A Scotia-Glenville       NY C  Sec 2   ( 4-13, 70.1)    17-10   
 409 H Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (17- 2, 88.5)    12-13   
 416 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (16- 2, 92.0)     7-21   
 418 A Greenwich, NY          NY C  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 72.5)    15-12   
 420 H South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 79.8)    12-16   
 425 H Scotia-Glenville       NY C  Sec 2   ( 4-13, 70.1)    15-16   
 430 H Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 2-12, 68.7)    21- 6   
 502 A Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (17- 2, 88.5)     7-15   
 504 A Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (16- 2, 92.0)     5-17   
 507 H Greenwich, NY          NY C  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 72.5)    20- 9   
 509 A South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 79.8)    16-23   
 517 H Holy Names Acad, NY    NY C  Sec 2   ( 5-10, 72.6)    10-11 2o
 521 H Greenwich, NY          NY C  Sec 2   ( 6-10, 72.5)    20-12   
 523 A Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   (14- 4, 85.3)     9-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Schenectady            14-12       2     4    -     -2.08
   404 A Scotia-Glenville       17-10       7     5           1.45
   409 H Glens Falls            12-13      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   416 H Queensbury              7-21     -14   -14           0.00
   418 A Greenwich, NY          15-12       3     3          -0.11
   420 H South Glens Falls      12-16      -4    -2          -1.78
   425 H Scotia-Glenville       15-16      -1     7    ---   -8.43
   430 H Johnstown              21- 6      15     8           1.14
   502 A Glens Falls             7-15      -8   -12    +      2.00
   504 A Queensbury              5-17     -12   -16           0.00
   507 H Greenwich, NY          20- 9      11     4    ++     5.01
   509 A South Glens Falls      16-23      -7    -4    -     -2.90
   517 H Holy Names Acad, NY    10-11 2o   -1     4    --    -5.89
   521 H Greenwich, NY          20-12       8     4    +      3.01
   523 A Albany Academy SG       9-15      -6    -9    +      3.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Scotia-Glenville       15-16      -1     7    ---   -8.43
   517 H Holy Names Acad, NY    10-11 2o   -1     4    --    -5.89
   403 H Schenectady            14-12       2     4    -     -2.08
   509 A South Glens Falls      16-23      -7    -4    -     -2.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Glens Falls            12-13      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   507 H Greenwich, NY          20- 9      11     4    ++     5.01
   502 A Glens Falls             7-15      -8   -12    +      2.00
   521 H Greenwich, NY          20-12       8     4    +      3.01
   523 A Albany Academy SG       9-15      -6    -9    +      3.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.60 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.84 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/