Conf =  A                         Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Jason Bach            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.2649841    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Schuylerville          NY C  Sec 2   ( 6- 9, 76.6)    12-14   
 410 A Scotia-Glenville       NY C  Sec 2   ( 4-13, 70.1)     9-12   
 411 A Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 79.4)     6- 8   
 413 H South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 79.8)     9-18   
 416 H Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 0- 9, 60.6)    23- 4   
 418 A Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   (14- 4, 85.3)     4-14   
 420 A Holy Names Acad, NY    NY C  Sec 2   ( 5-10, 72.6)    10- 9   
 423 H Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   (14- 4, 85.3)    10-13   
 425 H Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (17- 2, 88.5)     5-14   
 427 A Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 2-12, 68.7)     6-10   
 501 A Burnt Hills-Ballston L NY B  Sec 2   (10- 8, 85.7)     7-17   
 502 A Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 0- 9, 60.6)    18- 6   
 504 H Holy Names Acad, NY    NY C  Sec 2   ( 5-10, 72.6)    14- 7   
 507 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (16- 2, 92.0)     9-22   
 510 A Ballston Spa           NY A  Sec 2   ( 0-16, 69.4)    14-11   
 514 H Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 79.4)     8-12   
 517 H Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 4-15, 75.0)     9-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Schuylerville          12-14      -2    -4    +      2.08
   410 A Scotia-Glenville        9-12      -3     2    --    -5.41
   411 A Emma Willard            6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.88
   413 H South Glens Falls       9-18      -9    -5    -     -3.64
   416 H Cohoes                 23- 4      19    13           0.00
   418 A Albany Academy SG       4-14     -10   -12           0.00
   420 A Holy Names Acad, NY    10- 9       1     0           1.13
   423 H Albany Academy SG      10-13      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   425 H Glens Falls             5-14      -9   -14           1.00
   427 A Johnstown               6-10      -4     3    ---   -7.84
   501 A Burnt Hills-Ballston L  7-17     -10   -13           0.00
   502 A Cohoes                 18- 6      12    11           0.00
   504 H Holy Names Acad, NY    14- 7       7     1    ++     5.26
   507 H Queensbury              9-22     -13   -17           0.00
   510 A Ballston Spa           14-11       3     3          -0.10
   514 H Emma Willard            8-12      -4    -5           1.01
   517 H Colonie                 9-12      -3     0    -     -2.37

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Johnstown               6-10      -4     3    ---   -7.84
   410 A Scotia-Glenville        9-12      -3     2    --    -5.41
   413 H South Glens Falls       9-18      -9    -5    -     -3.64
   517 H Colonie                 9-12      -3     0    -     -2.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Albany Academy SG      10-13      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   411 A Emma Willard            6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.88
   504 H Holy Names Acad, NY    14- 7       7     1    ++     5.26
   403 A Schuylerville          12-14      -2    -4    +      2.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.46 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.60 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/