Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Jaguars              Coach  =   Michell Heyl          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.0425110    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Poolesville            MD    2A-1A   ( 8- 4, 74.9)    14-17  o
 323 H Walter Johnson         MD    4A-3A   (10- 4, 76.0)     8-10   
 327 H Blake, MD              MD    4A-3A   (10- 4, 78.3)     8-23   
 329 A Seneca Valley, MD      MD    3A-2A   ( 6- 7, 66.8)    15- 4   
 413 H Clarksburg             MD    4A-3A   ( 2-10, 58.3)    16- 5   
 416 A Quince Orchard         MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 4, 74.6)     6-11   
 419 H Gaithersburg           MD    4A-3A   ( 2-10, 58.4)    20- 5   
 424 A Magruder               MD    4A-3A   ( 0-11, 53.7)    22- 9   
 428 H Watkins Mill           MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 6, 67.6)    13-16   
 501 H Richard Montgomery, MD MD    4A-3A   ( 5- 9, 69.0)    14-12   
 503 A Kennedy, MD            MD    4A-3A   ( 0-12, 50.1)    18- 4   
 508 A Montgomery Blair       MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 5, 73.0)    20-11   
 509 A Gaithersburg           MD    4A-3A   ( 2-10, 58.4)    17- 9   
 511 A Westminster, MD        MD    4A-3A   (13- 5, 89.1)     7-23   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Poolesville            14-17  o   -3    -2          -0.50
   323 H Walter Johnson          8-10      -2    -3           1.52
   327 H Blake, MD               8-23     -15    -5    --    -4.10
   329 A Seneca Valley, MD      15- 4      11     4    ++     5.28
   413 H Clarksburg             16- 5      11    14           0.00
   416 A Quince Orchard          6-11      -5    -3          -1.91
   419 H Gaithersburg           20- 5      15    13           0.00
   424 A Magruder               22- 9      13    17           0.00
   428 H Watkins Mill           13-16      -3     4    ---   -7.88
   501 H Richard Montgomery, MD 14-12       2     3          -1.41
   503 A Kennedy, MD            18- 4      14    21           0.00
   508 A Montgomery Blair       20-11       9    -1    +++   10.48
   509 A Gaithersburg           17- 9       8    13    -     -2.00
   511 A Westminster, MD         7-23     -16   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Watkins Mill           13-16      -3     4    ---   -7.88
   327 H Blake, MD               8-23     -15    -5    --    -4.10
   509 A Gaithersburg           17- 9       8    13    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Montgomery Blair       20-11       9    -1    +++   10.48
   329 A Seneca Valley, MD      15- 4      11     4    ++     5.28
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.99 Local Power Rank...........    74
 Local SOS Rating......... 39.47 Local SOS Rank.............   118
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    66
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    88
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    68
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/