Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Lumberjacks          Coach  =   Brandon Schmitt       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.9533005    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 79.1)     5- 9   
 403 H Springville-Griffith   NY C  Sec 6   ( 3-10, 73.1)     8- 6   
 416 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 8, 82.1)     5- 9   
 417 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (10- 7, 82.2)     9- 8   
 418 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-12, 74.9)     9- 4   
 420 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 89.8)     5-13   
 425 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 77.2)     4- 3   
 427 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 84.3)     6-15   
 428 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 90.1)     1-11   
 501 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (10- 7, 82.2)    10-12   
 502 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-12, 74.9)     4- 5   
 504 A Springville-Griffith   NY C  Sec 6   ( 3-10, 73.1)     8- 6   
 505 H Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 70.5)     2- 0   
 507 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 81.1)     5- 9   
 509 H Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-15, 70.5)    11- 4   
 511 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 77.2)     5- 6  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Iroquois                5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.16
   403 H Springville-Griffith    8- 6       2     6    --    -4.47
   416 H Sweet Home              5- 9      -4    -2          -1.46
   417 A Niagara-Wheatfield      9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.92
   418 A Grand Island            9- 4       5     2    +      2.61
   420 A Williamsville South     5-13      -8   -12    +      2.00
   425 A Lockport                4- 3       1     0           0.89
   427 H West Seneca East        6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.29
   428 A West Seneca West        1-11     -10   -12           0.00
   501 A Niagara-Wheatfield     10-12      -2    -4    +      2.92
   502 H Grand Island            4- 5      -1     4    --    -5.68
   504 A Springville-Griffith    8- 6       2     4    -     -2.18
   505 H Niagara Falls           2- 0       2     9    ---   -7.04
   507 H Williamsville East      5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.46
   509 H Niagara Falls          11- 4       7     9    -     -2.04
   511 H Lockport                5- 6  o   -1     2    -     -3.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Niagara Falls           2- 0       2     9    ---   -7.04
   403 H Springville-Griffith    8- 6       2     6    --    -4.47
   427 H West Seneca East        6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.29
   502 H Grand Island            4- 5      -1     4    --    -5.68
   402 A Iroquois                5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.16
   504 A Springville-Griffith    8- 6       2     4    -     -2.18
   507 H Williamsville East      5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.46
   509 H Niagara Falls          11- 4       7     9    -     -2.04
   511 H Lockport                5- 6  o   -1     2    -     -3.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Niagara-Wheatfield      9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.92
   418 A Grand Island            9- 4       5     2    +      2.61
   420 A Williamsville South     5-13      -8   -12    +      2.00
   501 A Niagara-Wheatfield     10-12      -2    -4    +      2.92
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.44 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.89 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.38 Local RPI Rank.............    26
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/