Region = MD    IAAM A           
   Nickname = D Blazers              Coach  =   Mary Bartel           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.6696014    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  (10- 8, 84.3)    15-10   
 326 A St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  ( 8- 9, 84.8)    15-12   
 328 H Archbishop Spalding    MD    IAAM A  ( 7-13, 80.8)    14-13   
 330 H John Carroll, MD       MD    IAAM A  ( 8- 9, 83.0)    13- 5   
 405 H Manhasset              NY B  Sec 8   (13- 5, 96.9)     9-10   
 407 H Century, MD            MD    3A-2A   (18- 1, 99.9)     4- 9   
 407 H South River            MD    4A-3A   (13- 4, 92.4)    15- 9   
 410 H Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (11- 7, 97.1)     9-11   
 411 H Severn School          MD    IAAM A  ( 9-11, 82.0)    13-11   
 413 A St. Mary's, MD         MD    IAAM A  ( 2-16, 75.9)    12- 8   
 414 N Georgetown Visitation  DC    ISL AA  (18- 2, 96.5)     8- 7  o
 414 N Radnor                 PA    Centrl  (21- 5, 96.6)     8-13   
 416 A Garrison Forest        MD    IAAM A  ( 5-10, 76.6)    16- 4   
 418 A Mount de Sales         MD    IAAM A  ( 9- 8, 82.3)     9-17   
 423 H McDonogh School        MD    IAAM A  (18- 0, 99.9)     7-19   
 425 A Maryvale Prep          MD    IAAM A  (13- 4, 90.4)    11-12   
 427 H Bryn Mawr SG           MD    IAAM A  (15- 2, 92.1)     7- 8  o
 508 N Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  (10- 8, 84.3)    16-15   
 510 A McDonogh School        MD    IAAM A  (18- 0, 99.9)     2-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Roland Park Country    15-10       5     2    +      2.33
   326 A St. Paul's SG, MD      15-12       3     0    +      3.65
   328 H Archbishop Spalding    14-13       1     6    --    -5.16
   330 H John Carroll, MD       13- 5       8     3    ++     4.03
   405 H Manhasset               9-10      -1   -10          n/a  
   407 H Century, MD             4- 9      -5   -13          n/a  
   407 H South River            15- 9       6    -5          n/a  
   410 H Brighton, NY            9-11      -2   -10          n/a  
   411 H Severn School          13-11       2     4    -     -2.99
   413 A St. Mary's, MD         12- 8       4     8    --    -4.28
   414 N Georgetown Visitation   8- 7  o    1   -10          n/a  
   414 N Radnor                  8-13      -5   -11          n/a  
   416 A Garrison Forest        16- 4      12     7    +      2.44
   418 A Mount de Sales          9-17      -8     1    ---   -9.82
   423 H McDonogh School         7-19     -12   -12           0.00
   425 A Maryvale Prep          11-12      -1    -6    ++     5.24
   427 H Bryn Mawr SG            7- 8  o   -1    -5    ++     4.06
   508 N Roland Park Country    16-15       1     1          -0.24
   510 A McDonogh School         2-13     -11   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Mount de Sales          9-17      -8     1    ---   -9.82
   328 H Archbishop Spalding    14-13       1     6    --    -5.16
   413 A St. Mary's, MD         12- 8       4     8    --    -4.28
   411 H Severn School          13-11       2     4    -     -2.99

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Manhasset               9-10      -1   -10    +++        
   407 H South River            15- 9       6    -5    +++        
   410 H Brighton, NY            9-11      -2   -10    +++        
   414 N Georgetown Visitation   8- 7  o    1   -10    +++        
   330 H John Carroll, MD       13- 5       8     3    ++     4.03
   407 H Century, MD             4- 9      -5   -13    ++         
   414 N Radnor                  8-13      -5   -11    ++         
   425 A Maryvale Prep          11-12      -1    -6    ++     5.24
   427 H Bryn Mawr SG            7- 8  o   -1    -5    ++     4.06
   323 H Roland Park Country    15-10       5     2    +      2.33
   326 A St. Paul's SG, MD      15-12       3     0    +      3.65
   416 A Garrison Forest        16- 4      12     7    +      2.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.56 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.37 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/