Region = MD    IAAM A           
   Nickname = D Patriots             Coach  =   K. Porchella          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.7678528    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 A Bel Air                MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 8, 82.4)    11- 4   
 321 H Maryvale Prep          MD    IAAM A  (13- 4, 90.4)    13-12 2o
 323 H Bryn Mawr SG           MD    IAAM A  (15- 2, 92.1)     7- 9   
 328 A St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  ( 8- 9, 84.8)     6-10   
 330 A Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD    IAAM A  (10- 9, 85.6)     5-13   
 403 H C. M. Wright           MD    3A-2A   (14- 5, 93.2)     9-10   
 404 H Mount de Sales         MD    IAAM A  ( 9- 8, 82.3)    18-10   
 411 H Archbishop Spalding    MD    IAAM A  ( 7-13, 80.8)    10-11   
 413 A Garrison Forest        MD    IAAM A  ( 5-10, 76.6)    14-10   
 415 H Severn School          MD    IAAM A  ( 9-11, 82.0)    11- 9   
 420 A St. Mary's, MD         MD    IAAM A  ( 2-16, 75.9)     8- 4   
 421 N West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (20- 1, 99.9)     6-14   
 422 N St. Anthony's          NY A  CHSAA   (16- 1, 99.9)     3-13   
 425 H Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  (10- 8, 84.3)    11-13   
 427 A McDonogh School        MD    IAAM A  (18- 0, 99.9)    10-18   
 430 A Fallston               MD    2A-1A   (14- 4, 92.5)    11-10   
 504 H Garrison Forest        MD    IAAM A  ( 5-10, 76.6)     8- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Bel Air                11- 4       7     0          n/a  
   321 H Maryvale Prep          13-12 2o    1    -5    +++    6.91
   323 H Bryn Mawr SG            7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.59
   328 A St. Paul's SG, MD       6-10      -4    -3          -0.82
   330 A Notre Dame Prep, MD     5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.03
   403 H C. M. Wright            9-10      -1    -9          n/a  
   404 H Mount de Sales         18-10       8     2    ++     5.85
   411 H Archbishop Spalding    10-11      -1     3    --    -4.63
   413 A Garrison Forest        14-10       4     5          -1.03
   415 H Severn School          11- 9       2     2          -0.46
   420 A St. Mary's, MD          8- 4       4     5          -1.74
   421 N West Genesee            6-14      -8   -16          n/a  
   422 N St. Anthony's           3-13     -10   -16          n/a  
   425 H Roland Park Country    11-13      -2     0    -     -2.13
   427 A McDonogh School        10-18      -8   -18    +      2.00
   430 A Fallston               11-10       1   -10          n/a  
   504 H Garrison Forest         8- 6       2     7    --    -5.89

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Notre Dame Prep, MD     5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.03
   411 H Archbishop Spalding    10-11      -1     3    --    -4.63
   504 H Garrison Forest         8- 6       2     7    --    -5.89
   425 H Roland Park Country    11-13      -2     0    -     -2.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Bel Air                11- 4       7     0    +++        
   321 H Maryvale Prep          13-12 2o    1    -5    +++    6.91
   403 H C. M. Wright            9-10      -1    -9    +++        
   430 A Fallston               11-10       1   -10    +++        
   323 H Bryn Mawr SG            7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.59
   404 H Mount de Sales         18-10       8     2    ++     5.85
   421 N West Genesee            6-14      -8   -16    +          
   427 A McDonogh School        10-18      -8   -18    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.03 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.71 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/