Region = DC    WCAC             
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Michael Haight        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.3120193    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 H St. Mary's, MD         MD    IAAM A  ( 2-16, 75.9)     8- 4   
 323 A St. Mary's Ryken       DC    WCAC    ( 6-13, 73.6)    20- 3   
 327 H St. John's College, DC DC    WCAC    ( 9- 8, 74.8)    18- 4   
 329 A Georgetown Visitation  DC    ISL AA  (18- 2, 96.5)     7-16   
 402 H Garnet Valley          PA    Centrl  (24- 3, 98.8)     5- 9   
 403 A Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    (15- 8, 90.0)    12- 8   
 405 H Mendham                NJ    Grp 3N  (19- 5, 93.8)     7- 8   
 407 N Leonardtown            MD    4A-3A   (14- 3, 89.5)    14- 9   
 407 N North Harford          MD    3A-2A   (12- 5, 90.4)     9-18   
 414 N Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (11-12, 93.4)    12- 6   
 414 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes DC    ISL AA  (26- 3, 99.9)     6-13   
 416 A Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    (15- 7, 84.8)    16- 6   
 418 H Winters Mill           MD    2A-1A   (13- 6, 90.6)    10-11   
 420 A Paul VI CS, VA         DC    WCAC    ( 7-12, 72.0)    18- 2   
 423 A Holy Cross, MD         DC    WCAC    (15- 5, 90.8)    16- 9   
 427 H Elizabeth Seton        DC    WCAC    (11- 8, 79.6)    13- 4   
 501 H Bishop McNamara        DC    WCAC    ( 5-12, 66.2)    18- 0   
 508 H Paul VI CS, VA         DC    WCAC    ( 7-12, 72.0)    24- 2   
 510 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    (15- 7, 84.8)    18- 7   
 516 N Holy Cross, MD         DC    WCAC    (15- 5, 90.8)     4- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H St. Mary's, MD          8- 4       4    16          n/a  
   323 A St. Mary's Ryken       20- 3      17    16           0.00
   327 H St. John's College, DC 18- 4      14    17           0.00
   329 A Georgetown Visitation   7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.10
   402 H Garnet Valley           5- 9      -4    -6          n/a  
   403 A Bishop Ireton          12- 8       4     0    +      3.38
   405 H Mendham                 7- 8      -1    -1          n/a  
   407 N Leonardtown            14- 9       5     1          n/a  
   407 N North Harford           9-18      -9     0          n/a  
   414 N Honeoye Falls-Lima     12- 6       6    -2          n/a  
   414 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  6-13      -7    -9    +      2.31
   416 A Bishop O'Connell       16- 6      10     5    ++     4.18
   418 H Winters Mill           10-11      -1     1          n/a  
   420 A Paul VI CS, VA         18- 2      16    18           0.00
   423 A Holy Cross, MD         16- 9       7     0    +++    7.21
   427 H Elizabeth Seton        13- 4       9    12          -1.00
   501 H Bishop McNamara        18- 0      18    25           0.00
   508 H Paul VI CS, VA         24- 2      22    20           0.00
   510 H Bishop O'Connell       18- 7      11     7    +      2.72
   516 N Holy Cross, MD          4- 9      -5     0    --    -5.52

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H St. Mary's, MD          8- 4       4    16    ---        
   407 N North Harford           9-18      -9     0    ---        
   516 N Holy Cross, MD          4- 9      -5     0    --    -5.52
   329 A Georgetown Visitation   7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.10
   418 H Winters Mill           10-11      -1     1    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 N Honeoye Falls-Lima     12- 6       6    -2    +++        
   423 A Holy Cross, MD         16- 9       7     0    +++    7.21
   416 A Bishop O'Connell       16- 6      10     5    ++     4.18
   402 H Garnet Valley           5- 9      -4    -6    +          
   403 A Bishop Ireton          12- 8       4     0    +      3.38
   407 N Leonardtown            14- 9       5     1    +          
   414 A Sts. Stephen's & Agnes  6-13      -7    -9    +      2.31
   510 H Bishop O'Connell       18- 7      11     7    +      2.72
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.32 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.04 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.135.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    9.3
/