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Region = MA No D1 Nickname = A Flyers Coach = Stacy FredaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.7320099 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 404 H Andover, MA MA No D1 (20- 3, 92.7) 10-16 409 H Wellesley HS MA So D1 (12- 8, 85.6) 11- 8 411 A Weymouth MA So D1 ( 5-13, 74.6) 16- 2 419 H Winchester MA No D2 (23- 2, 93.5) 11-15 420 A Westwood, MA MA So D1 (24- 2, 99.9) 8-15 424 A Westborough MA Cen D1 (15- 4, 90.4) 9-10 425 H Natick MA So D1 (17- 4, 88.1) 13-12 427 A Needham MA So D1 (22- 2, 96.0) 8-15 430 H Dedham MA So D2 ( 6-10, 71.3) 15- 5 502 H Newton North MA So D1 (13- 6, 85.6) 18-11 503 A Duxbury MA So D2 (15- 5, 88.7) 11-11 504 A Reading Memorial MA No D1 (18- 5, 87.7) 12-13 507 H Milton, MA MA So D2 ( 2-14, 68.5) 15- 5 509 H Braintree MA So D1 (10- 9, 80.8) 17- 4 511 A Wellesley HS MA So D1 (12- 8, 85.6) 5- 7 514 A Norwood MA So D1 ( 9-10, 78.3) 14- 7 516 A Walpole MA So D1 (12- 8, 85.7) 13- 8 518 H Needham MA So D1 (22- 2, 96.0) 9-12 521 A Brookline MA So D1 ( 7-11, 71.4) 15- 5 522 H Concord-Carlisle MA No D1 (12- 7, 86.5) 15- 8 529 A Concord-Carlisle MA No D1 (12- 7, 86.5) 15-10 601 A Lincoln-Sudbury MA No D1 (22- 2, 97.8) 6- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Andover, MA 10-16 -6 -4 -1.67 409 H Wellesley HS 11- 8 3 2 0.22 411 A Weymouth 16- 2 14 12 0.00 419 H Winchester 11-15 -4 -5 1.15 420 A Westwood, MA 8-15 -7 -12 + 3.00 424 A Westborough 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.27 425 H Natick 13-12 1 0 0.78 427 A Needham 8-15 -7 -8 1.88 430 H Dedham 15- 5 10 17 0.00 502 H Newton North 18-11 7 2 ++ 4.21 503 A Duxbury 11-11 0 -1 1.55 504 A Reading Memorial 12-13 -1 0 -0.42 507 H Milton, MA 15- 5 10 19 0.00 509 H Braintree 17- 4 13 7 + 2.41 511 A Wellesley HS 5- 7 -2 1 - -3.58 514 A Norwood 14- 7 7 8 -1.86 516 A Walpole 13- 8 5 1 + 3.59 518 H Needham 9-12 -3 -7 ++ 4.68 521 A Brookline 15- 5 10 15 0.00 522 H Concord-Carlisle 15- 8 7 1 ++ 5.14 529 A Concord-Carlisle 15-10 5 0 ++ 4.34 601 A Lincoln-Sudbury 6- 7 -1 -10 +++ 9.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 511 A Wellesley HS 5- 7 -2 1 - -3.58OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 601 A Lincoln-Sudbury 6- 7 -1 -10 +++ 9.00 502 H Newton North 18-11 7 2 ++ 4.21 518 H Needham 9-12 -3 -7 ++ 4.68 522 H Concord-Carlisle 15- 8 7 1 ++ 5.14 529 A Concord-Carlisle 15-10 5 0 ++ 4.34 420 A Westwood, MA 8-15 -7 -12 + 3.00 424 A Westborough 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.27 509 H Braintree 17- 4 13 7 + 2.41 516 A Walpole 13- 8 5 1 + 3.59/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.76 Local Power Rank........... 18 Local SOS Rating......... 69.79 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 18 Championship Probability . 3.0 Championship Rank ....... 5 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 35 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.4 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.1 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7