Region = MA    No D1            
   Nickname = A Flyers               Coach  =   Stacy Freda           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.7320099    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H Andover, MA            MA    No D1   (20- 3, 92.7)    10-16   
 409 H Wellesley HS           MA    So D1   (12- 8, 85.6)    11- 8   
 411 A Weymouth               MA    So D1   ( 5-13, 74.6)    16- 2   
 419 H Winchester             MA    No D2   (23- 2, 93.5)    11-15   
 420 A Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (24- 2, 99.9)     8-15   
 424 A Westborough            MA    Cen D1  (15- 4, 90.4)     9-10   
 425 H Natick                 MA    So D1   (17- 4, 88.1)    13-12   
 427 A Needham                MA    So D1   (22- 2, 96.0)     8-15   
 430 H Dedham                 MA    So D2   ( 6-10, 71.3)    15- 5   
 502 H Newton North           MA    So D1   (13- 6, 85.6)    18-11   
 503 A Duxbury                MA    So D2   (15- 5, 88.7)    11-11   
 504 A Reading Memorial       MA    No D1   (18- 5, 87.7)    12-13   
 507 H Milton, MA             MA    So D2   ( 2-14, 68.5)    15- 5   
 509 H Braintree              MA    So D1   (10- 9, 80.8)    17- 4   
 511 A Wellesley HS           MA    So D1   (12- 8, 85.6)     5- 7   
 514 A Norwood                MA    So D1   ( 9-10, 78.3)    14- 7   
 516 A Walpole                MA    So D1   (12- 8, 85.7)    13- 8   
 518 H Needham                MA    So D1   (22- 2, 96.0)     9-12   
 521 A Brookline              MA    So D1   ( 7-11, 71.4)    15- 5   
 522 H Concord-Carlisle       MA    No D1   (12- 7, 86.5)    15- 8   
 529 A Concord-Carlisle       MA    No D1   (12- 7, 86.5)    15-10   
 601 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA    No D1   (22- 2, 97.8)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Andover, MA            10-16      -6    -4          -1.67
   409 H Wellesley HS           11- 8       3     2           0.22
   411 A Weymouth               16- 2      14    12           0.00
   419 H Winchester             11-15      -4    -5           1.15
   420 A Westwood, MA            8-15      -7   -12    +      3.00
   424 A Westborough             9-10      -1    -3    +      2.27
   425 H Natick                 13-12       1     0           0.78
   427 A Needham                 8-15      -7    -8           1.88
   430 H Dedham                 15- 5      10    17           0.00
   502 H Newton North           18-11       7     2    ++     4.21
   503 A Duxbury                11-11       0    -1           1.55
   504 A Reading Memorial       12-13      -1     0          -0.42
   507 H Milton, MA             15- 5      10    19           0.00
   509 H Braintree              17- 4      13     7    +      2.41
   511 A Wellesley HS            5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.58
   514 A Norwood                14- 7       7     8          -1.86
   516 A Walpole                13- 8       5     1    +      3.59
   518 H Needham                 9-12      -3    -7    ++     4.68
   521 A Brookline              15- 5      10    15           0.00
   522 H Concord-Carlisle       15- 8       7     1    ++     5.14
   529 A Concord-Carlisle       15-10       5     0    ++     4.34
   601 A Lincoln-Sudbury         6- 7      -1   -10    +++    9.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 A Wellesley HS            5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   601 A Lincoln-Sudbury         6- 7      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   502 H Newton North           18-11       7     2    ++     4.21
   518 H Needham                 9-12      -3    -7    ++     4.68
   522 H Concord-Carlisle       15- 8       7     1    ++     5.14
   529 A Concord-Carlisle       15-10       5     0    ++     4.34
   420 A Westwood, MA            8-15      -7   -12    +      3.00
   424 A Westborough             9-10      -1    -3    +      2.27
   509 H Braintree              17- 4      13     7    +      2.41
   516 A Walpole                13- 8       5     1    +      3.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.76 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.79 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    35
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
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